Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 27

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday


	Mariglianese		Città di SantAgata

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.3	1.72
	3.77	3.71	1.72
	4.04	3.1	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↓ (5.47)	3.37 ↓ (3.84)	1.79 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariglianese
22.6%

Draw
26.8%

Città di SantAgata
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.7%

23.9%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.4%

23.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariglianese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mariglianese's performance.

Città di SantAgata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Città di SantAgata might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariglianese than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mariglianese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Città di SantAgata than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Città di SantAgata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Mariglianese - Città di SantAgata Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Mariglianese will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Città di SantAgata will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Mariglianese is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Città di Sant'Agata is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mariglianese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Mariglianese
Italian Serie D - Group I
05.03.23	Paternò - Mariglianese	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Mariglianese - Locri	0:3 ✺
18.02.23	Castrovillari - Mariglianese	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	Catania - Mariglianese	2:1 ✺
05.02.23	Mariglianese - Vibonese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LLWLW
- ASD Città di SantAgata
Italian Serie D - Group I
05.03.23	Città di SantAgata - Catania	1:2 ✺
26.02.23	Vibonese - Città di SantAgata	2:3 ✺
19.02.23	Città di SantAgata - Licata	3:0 ✺
12.02.23	San Luca - Città di SantAgata	0:2 ✺
05.02.23	Città di SantAgata - Ragusa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
06.11.22	Città di SantAgata - Mariglianese	4:0

Mariglianese - Città di SantAgata: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide