Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 16

Date: 15 December 2023, Friday


	Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue		Martigues

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.1	1.8
	4.5	3.3	1.8	Watch
	4.8	3.27	1.87
	4.8	3.27	1.88
	4.2	3.2	1.75
	4.6	3.24	1.8	Watch
	4.5	3.3	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.5 ↑ (3.34)	3.24 ↑ (3.05)	1.81 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue
20.5%

Draw
28.5%

Martigues
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

29.5%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

29.2%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue's form might have worsened.

Martigues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Martigues's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Martigues, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	9.1%	81.8%

Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue - Martigues Predictions

Users Predictions: Martigues will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herbin A. (G) 27. Abdallah K. 4. Bamba A. (C) 8. Benhamza C. 7. Bosca G. 9. Bouhmidi K. 25. Diampo Sengele O. 10. Diarra D. 17. Khechmar A. 6. Quenabio L. 29. Sy M.	30. Aymes J. (G) 26. Belloumou S. 5. Calvet R. 22. Djaha A. 6. Kembolo F. 29. Mendy O. 18. Missi Mezu G. 14. Najim I. 7. Orinel O. 4. Soilihi A. 8. Zouaoui Y.
Substitutes
20. Abderrahmane H. 16. Colin L. (G) 22. Goteni R. 26. Mramboini S. 12. Nagui M.	11. Diawara A. 21. Hadjem Y. 28. Kadir F. 12. Robin M. 3. Turkaj R.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Marignane is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Martigues is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Martigues could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Martigues is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Marignane won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Marignane won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue
French Ligue 3
01.12.23	Sochaux - Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue	4:0 ✺
24.11.23	Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue - GOAL FC	2:2 ✺
10.11.23	Red Star - Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue	2:1 ✺
03.11.23	Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue - Orleans	0:0 ✺
20.10.23	Versailles - Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTLTT
- FC Martigues
Coupe De France
09.12.23	Martigues - Olympique Alès	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 3
04.12.23	Martigues - Niort	1:0 ✺
24.11.23	Cholet - Martigues	0:2 ✺
Coupe De France
18.11.23	Velay - Martigues	1:3 ✺
French Ligue 3
10.11.23	Martigues - Nancy	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

French National 1 - Group C
28.05.22	Martigues - Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue	3:0
18.12.21	Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue - Martigues	1:1
French National 1 - Group D
30.08.19	Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue - Martigues	0:1
08.04.17	Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue - Martigues	0:1

Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue - Martigues: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide