Match Info

Date: 8 September 2022, Thursday


	Marijampolė City		Atmosfera Mažeikiai

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.7	3.6
	1.75	3.85	3.6
	1.8	3.6	3.4
	1.85	3.65	3.44
	1.78	3.6	3.4
	1.89	4	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.63)	3.73 ↑ (3.72)	3.43 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marijampolė City
49.7%

Draw
24.1%

Atmosfera Mažeikiai
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

23.7%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

22.6%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marijampolė City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Atmosfera Mažeikiai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marijampolė City than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marijampolė City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atmosfera Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	20%	33.3%

Marijampolė City - Atmosfera Mažeikiai Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Marijampolė City will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Atmosfera will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marijampolė City: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches Marijampolė City is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Atmosfera is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Marijampolė City have a series of home games.

In this match Marijampolė City is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marijampolė City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marijampolė City
Lithuanian Division 2
03.09.22	Babrungas Plungė - Marijampolė City	4:1 ✺
25.08.22	Marijampolė City - Riteriai 2	2:1 ✺
18.08.22	Marijampolė City - Neptūnas	2:1 ✺
15.08.22	Marijampolė City - Minija Kretinga	2:0 ✺
06.08.22	Marijampolė City - Ekranas	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWL
- Atmosfera Mažeikiai
Lithuanian Division 2
03.09.22	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Panevėžys 2	1:2 ✺
27.08.22	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	4:4 ✺
19.08.22	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Banga Gargždai 2	3:1 ✺
12.08.22	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - FA Šiauliai B	2:1 ✺
06.08.22	Riteriai 2 - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
13.05.22	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Marijampolė City	1:2

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