The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Žalgiris Vilnius 2 35.2%
Draw 26.9%
Atmosfera Mažeikiai 37.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.3%
25%
40.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.5%
23.5%
38.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Žalgiris Vilnius 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Atmosfera Mažeikiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris Vilnius 2 than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atmosfera Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Atmosfera Mažeikiai Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Simonavicius U. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
48', 1 - 1, Seki K. ⚽,
50', 1 - 2, Adah J. ⚽,
56', 2 - 2, Berenta V. ⚽,
86', 2 - 3, Stasys M. ⚽,
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 4th and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris 2 won 1.
Žalgiris 2 is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Atmosfera have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Atmosfera may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Žalgiris 2 has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:18 (averaging 2.2:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Žalgiris 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 14:5 goals (averaging 3.5:1.3 per game).
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