Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 35

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday


	Marine		Guiseley

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.9	3.7
	2.1	3.75	2.8
	1.77	4	3.76
	1.78	4.03	3.79
	1.7	3.7	3.7
	1.72	3.72	4.06
	2.1	3.75	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.2)	3.84 ↑ (3.59)	3.52 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marine
49.9%

Draw
23.9%

Guiseley
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

25.4%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

27.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marine's performance.

Guiseley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guiseley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marine than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guiseley than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Marine - Guiseley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Marine is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guiseley is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guiseley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Marine have a series of guest games.

Marine will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Marine won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Marine won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marine FC
English NPL Premier Division
02.03.24	Macclesfield Town - Marine	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	Marine - Bradford Park Avenue	4:0 ✺
17.02.24	Radcliffe - Marine	3:2 ✺
03.02.24	Ilkeston - Marine	1:1 ✺
30.01.24	United of Manchester - Marine	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLTW
- Guiseley
English NPL Premier Division
09.03.24	Guiseley - Radcliffe	1:0 ✺
05.03.24	Atherton Collieries - Guiseley	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Stafford Rangers - Guiseley	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Guiseley - Morpeth Town	4:1 ✺
10.02.24	Ashton United - Guiseley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
24.10.23	Guiseley - Marine	4:2
11.03.23	Marine - Guiseley	1:3
13.08.22	Guiseley - Marine	0:3

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