Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 30

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday


	Ilkeston		Marine

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.8	1.83
	3.4	3.75	1.87
	3.33	4.1	1.88
	3	4	1.83
	3.35	3.75	1.88
	3.4	3.75	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.64)	3.86 ↑ (3.45)	1.86 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilkeston
27.7%

Draw
23.5%

Marine
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

26.2%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

25.8%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilkeston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ilkeston's form might have worsened.

Marine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marine's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilkeston, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marine than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marine, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ilkeston won 0.

Ilkeston is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Marine is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Marine could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Marine will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Ilkeston won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Ilkeston won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilkeston FC
English NPL Premier Division
27.01.24	Stafford Rangers - Ilkeston	0:2 ✺
20.01.24	Ilkeston - Basford United	4:1 ✺
13.01.24	Worksop Town - Ilkeston	1:2 ✺
06.01.24	Ilkeston - United of Manchester	2:0 ✺
01.01.24	Whitby Town - Ilkeston	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WWWWL
- Marine FC
English NPL Premier Division
30.01.24	United of Manchester - Marine	0:3 ✺
27.01.24	Marine - Worksop Town	2:1 ✺
20.01.24	Bamber Bridge - Marine	1:7 ✺
15.01.24	Bradford Park Avenue - Marine	1:3 ✺
13.01.24	Marine - Stafford Rangers	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
02.12.23	Marine - Ilkeston	0:0
17.12.16	Ilkeston - Marine	1:2
05.11.16	Marine - Ilkeston	2:2
19.12.15	Ilkeston - Marine	0:0
19.09.15	Marine - Ilkeston	3:1
14.03.15	Marine - Ilkeston	1:2
29.09.14	Ilkeston - Marine	1:0

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