Match Info
ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 13Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Marine |
|
Lancaster City |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.88 |
3.4 |
3.3 |
|
 |
1.9 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
|
 |
1.92 |
3.55 |
3.5 |
|
 |
1.93 |
3.55 |
3.5 |
|
 |
1.8 |
3.6 |
3.75 |
|
 |
1.92 |
3.45 |
3.45 |
|
 |
1.9 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↑
(1.6) |
3.51 ↓
(3.96) |
3.5 ↓
(4.37) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Marine
48.1% | Draw
25.9% | Lancaster City
26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marine's form might have worsened.Lancaster City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lancaster City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marine than the current prediction. (+10.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marine, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lancaster City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Marine - Lancaster City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Marine won 3. Marine is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4). Recent matches Lancaster is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Marine could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. Marine will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Marine won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-7. Including matches at home between the teams Marine won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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