Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 21

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Rossett Park (Crosby)


	Marine		Scunthorpe United

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	1.95
	3.4	3.2	1.93
	3.6	3.4	1.95	Watch
	3.5	3.49	1.98
	3.63	3.43	2.01
	3.8	3.1	2
	3.71	3.3	1.96
	3.6	3.4	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↓ (4.88)	3.32 ↓ (3.37)	1.97 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marine
25.6%

Draw
27.7%

Scunthorpe United
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

27.3%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

27%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marine's performance.

Scunthorpe United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Scunthorpe United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marine than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marine that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Scunthorpe United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marine - Scunthorpe United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Whelan L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
81', 1 - 1, Whitehall D. (Pen),
90+4', 1 - 2, Whitehall D. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Marine could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Scunthorpe will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marine won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marine FC
English National League North
10.12.24	Alfreton Town - Marine	1:0 ✺
30.11.24	Southport - Marine	0:0 ✺
26.11.24	Marine - Spennymoor Town	2:2 ✺
23.11.24	Marine - Needham Market	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Chorley - Marine	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTTWL
- Scunthorpe United
English National League North
30.11.24	Scunthorpe United - Alfreton Town	0:0 ✺
26.11.24	Darlington - Scunthorpe United	0:0 ✺
23.11.24	Leamington - Scunthorpe United	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Scunthorpe United - Warrington Rylands	1:2 ✺
English National League North
09.11.24	Scunthorpe United - Buxton	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
17.08.24	Scunthorpe United - Marine	3:0

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