Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 20

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Attis Arena (Scunthorpe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Scunthorpe United		Alfreton Town

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	4.33
	1.68	3.4	4.33
	1.72	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.76	3.52	4.75
	1.75	3.57	4.7
	1.67	3.6	4.5
	1.7	3.58	4.66
	1.72	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.63)	3.56 ↓ (3.99)	4.53 ↓ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scunthorpe United
53.8%

Draw
25.9%

Alfreton Town
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

23.2%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

24.2%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scunthorpe United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Scunthorpe United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Scunthorpe United - Alfreton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).

Scunthorpe is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Alfreton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alfreton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Scunthorpe is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Scunthorpe won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 2.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Scunthorpe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scunthorpe United
English National League North
26.11.24	Darlington - Scunthorpe United	0:0 ✺
23.11.24	Leamington - Scunthorpe United	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Scunthorpe United - Warrington Rylands	1:2 ✺
English National League North
09.11.24	Scunthorpe United - Buxton	2:3 ✺
05.11.24	Spennymoor Town - Scunthorpe United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 TWLLL
- Alfreton Town
English National League North
26.11.24	Alfreton Town - South Shields	2:4 ✺
19.11.24	Oxford City - Alfreton Town	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Alfreton Town - Needham Market	3:2 ✺
English National League North
09.11.24	Warrington Town - Alfreton Town	0:1 ✺
05.11.24	Peterborough Sports - Alfreton Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
24.02.24	Scunthorpe United - Alfreton Town	1:0
02.09.23	Alfreton Town - Scunthorpe United	2:2
Club Friendly
23.07.19	Alfreton Town - Scunthorpe United	1:4

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