Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 18

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Rossett Park (Crosby)


	Marine		Needham Market

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.75	3.8
	1.73	3.4	4
	1.75	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.76	3.59	4.3
	1.79	3.6	4.38
	1.67	3.5	4.6
	1.73	3.62	4.41
	1.75	3.6	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.12)	3.58 ↑ (3.31)	4.27 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marine
52.8%

Draw
25.6%

Needham Market
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

27.4%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

26.5%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marine's performance.

Needham Market has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Needham Market might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marine than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marine that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Needham Market could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marine - Needham Market Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Brown J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 2 - 0, Sinclair-Smith F. ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 23 in the zone Relegation).

The competitors look crappy now.

Needham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Marine will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marine FC
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Chorley - Marine	3:1 ✺
English National League North
12.11.24	Marine - Curzon Ashton	0:2 ✺
09.11.24	Hereford - Marine	4:0 ✺
05.11.24	Marine - Chorley	3:0 ✺
26.10.24	Marine - Scarborough Athletic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLWL
- Needham Market
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Alfreton Town - Needham Market	3:2 ✺
English National League North
09.11.24	Needham Market - Chester	0:1 ✺
05.11.24	Rushall Olympic - Needham Market	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Needham Market - Spennymoor Town	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Buxton - Needham Market	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLTTL

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