Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Marine		Spalding United

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.4	2.15
	2.85	3.4	2.18
	2.87	3.59	2.22	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (2.87)	3.45 ↓ (3.59)	2.19 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marine
32.1%

Draw
26.4%

Spalding United
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

25.9%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

24.9%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Spalding United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marine than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spalding United than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Marine - Spalding United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 16th and 6th in the Promotion - National League North Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

Marine has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Spalding is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Marine could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Outrights of English National League North for now

Spalding United: 2.8% Marine: 0.73%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Spalding United	10	5	2	3	14:8	6	17
16	Marine	10	4	0	6	12:12	0	12

Last Results with these Odds

Spalding United - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.81%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marine FC
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Marine - Warrington Town	2:0 ✺
English National League North
26.09.26	Merthyr Town - Marine	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Marine - Darlington	2:1 ✺
08.09.26	South Shields - Marine	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Marine - Worksop Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWLL
- Spalding United
English FA Cup
06.10.26	Spalding United - Bury Town	4:0 ✺
03.10.26	Bury Town - Spalding United	1:1 ✺
English National League North
26.09.26	Chorley - Spalding United	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Spalding United - Bedford Town	2:1 ✺
08.09.26	Spennymoor Town - Spalding United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTLWW

Marine - Spalding United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide