The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spennymoor Town 31.5%
Draw 26.5%
Spalding United 42.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.2%
27%
34.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.5%
27.2%
34.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spennymoor Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spennymoor Town's form might have worsened.
Spalding United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spalding United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spennymoor Town than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spennymoor Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spalding United than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spalding United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Spennymoor Town - Spalding United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Bennett R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
56', 1 - 1, Cybulski B. ⚽,
64', 1 - 2, Cybulski B. ⚽,
89', 1 - 3, Cybulski B. ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 8).
Spennymoor is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Spalding's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
Outrights of English National League North for now
Spalding United: 2.8% Spennymoor: 0.73%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Spalding United
10
5
2
3
14:8
6
17
23
Spennymoor
10
1
4
5
11:21
-10
7
Last Results with these Odds
Spennymoor Town - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 38.17%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Spalding United - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 34.88%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.