Match Info

Paranaense - Round 3

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Willie Davids (Maringá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT


	Maringá		Coritiba

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2.05
	3.65	3.15	2.02	Watch
	3.9	3.31	1.96	Watch
	3.3	2.9	2.05
	3.54	3.13	2.14	Watch
	3.75	3.2	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (2.97)	3.12 ↓ (3.14)	2.04 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maringá
25.5%

Draw
29.4%

Coritiba
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

29.6%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maringá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maringá's form might have worsened.

Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Coritiba's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Maringá - Coritiba Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Maringá will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Coritiba will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tony Batista (G) 32. Caua Tavares 7. Edison Negueba 2. Gabriel Souza 9. Giovane Gomez 10. Guilherme Pira 28. Lucas Bonifacio 23. Paulinho 21. Ronald Camarao 3. Ronald Carvalho (C) 6. Thiago Rosa	1. Pedro Morisco (G) 26. Bruno Melo 17. Jean Gabriel 7. Lavega J. 11. Lucas Ronier 3. Maicon (C) 32. Pedro Rocha 23. Tiago Coser 2. Tinga 36. Vini Paulista 29. Willian Oliveira
Substitutes
20. Bruno Cheron 99. Caique 11. Danielzinho 14. Felipe 4. Jhow Alecxander 5. Kelvi Gomes 37. Masukake Y. 15. Neira I. 25. Neto (G) 29. Rai Natalino 33. Rhuan 22. Rodrigues J. P.	18. Brayan Gravelo 14. Enzo 28. Fabinho 22. Felipe Guimaraes 88. Fernando Sobral 19. Gomez S. 15. Guilherme Aquino 39. Gustavo 16. Joao Almeida 10. Josue 12. Pedro Rangel (G) 4. Rodrigo Moledo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Paulinho 🟨,
37', Lucas Bonifacio 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Jean Gabriel ↓, Josue ↑,
57', Vini Paulista ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
58', 0 - 1, Pedro Rocha ⚽,
61', Ronald Camarao ↓, Danielzinho ↑,
61', Lucas Bonifacio ↓, Kelvi Gomes ↑,
68', Guilherme Pira ↓, Caique ↑,
74', Lavega J. ↓, Fabinho ↑,
78', 🟨,
79', Paulinho ↓, Neira I. ↑,
79', Edison Negueba ↓, Rai Natalino ↑,
84', Pedro Rocha ↓, Rodrigo Moledo ↑,
84', Willian Oliveira ↓, Fernando Sobral ↑,
86', Lucas Ronier 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maringá won 2.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Maringá won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Maringá won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maringá FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
10.01.26	Operário Ferroviario - Maringá	1:1 ✺
07.01.26	Cianorte - Maringá	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
22.12.25	FC Cascavel - Maringá	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
30.08.25	Maringá - Caxias	3:0 ✺
24.08.25	Itabaiana - Maringá	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TTTWT
- Coritiba
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
10.01.26	Coritiba - Londrina	2:2 ✺
07.01.26	Coritiba - Foz do Iguaçu	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
23.11.25	Amazonas - Coritiba	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	Coritiba - Athletic Club	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Paysandu - Coritiba	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
09.03.25	Coritiba - Maringá	1:1
22.02.25	Maringá - Coritiba	2:0
22.01.25	Maringá - Coritiba	0:2
24.03.24	Coritiba - Maringá	0:0
17.03.24	Maringá - Coritiba	2:0
14.02.24	Coritiba - Maringá	2:2
25.01.23	Maringá - Coritiba	0:1

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