Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 18

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Etelvino Mendonca (Itabaiana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping


	Itabaiana		Maringá

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3	2.6
	2.58	2.92	2.62	Watch
	2.78	3.2	2.69
	1.59	3.81	5.41	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.7
	2.55	3.06	2.56	Watch
	2.3	2.8	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.36)	3.1 ↑ (2.83)	3.08 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Itabaiana
39.2%

Draw
30.3%

Maringá
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

31.8%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

33.5%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Itabaiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Maringá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	83.3%	16.7%

Itabaiana - Maringá Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Maringá will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Maringá (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leo Souza (G) 4. Betao 5. Carlos Coppetti 10. Dione 11. Elimar 3. Fredson (C) 9. Jackson 8. Karl 7. Leilson 2. Lucas Marques 6. Tarcisio	1. Tony Batista (G) 7. Edison Negueba 40. Everton Morelli 4. Jhow Alecxander 34. Luiz Fernando 99. Maranhao 23. Max Miller 3. Ronald Carvalho (C) 31. Thiago Rosa 13. Tito 18. Ze Vitor
Substitutes
23. Belem P. 14. Bruno Sena 21. David 20. Fabricio Oya 12. Jefferson (G) 22. Joao Maranhao 19. Joao Vitor 16. Kauan Santos 13. Neto Sergipano 18. Robinho 15. Vini Locatelli 17. Yohan	20. Bruno Cheron 14. Buga 5. Evanderson 27. Ibson 6. Joao Felix 16. Matheus Melo 25. Neto (G) 15. Parrudo 29. Rai Natalino 11. Robertinho 36. Vinicius Amaral
Coaches
Gilson Kleina	Casarin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, Karl ⚽,
13', Buga 🟨,
18', 1 - 1, Max Miller ⚽,
26', Jackson 🟨,
26', Jhow Alecxander 🟨,
34', Lucas Marques 🟨,
37', 2 - 1, Leilson ⚽,
44', 2 - 2, Luiz Fernando ⚽,
45+4', Thiago Rosa 🟨,
45+5', Betao 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jhow Alecxander ↓, Tito ↑,
53', Carlos Coppetti 🟨,
58', Lucas Marques ↓, Fabricio Oya ↑,
58', Dione ↓, Belem P. ↑,
60', Elimar 🟨,
68', Leilson ↓, Robinho ↑,
68', Elimar ↓, David ↑,
73', Luiz Fernando ↓, Rai Natalino ↑,
73', Ze Vitor ↓, Bruno Cheron ↑,
79', Karl ↓, Bruno Sena ↑,
86', Tito 🟨,
86', Everton Morelli ↓, Vinicius Amaral ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 14).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AO de Itabaiana
Brazilian Serie C
16.08.25	Ponte Preta - Itabaiana	1:0 ✺
11.08.25	Itabaiana - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
04.08.25	Brusque - Itabaiana	0:0 ✺
27.07.25	Itabaiana - Ituano	3:1 ✺
19.07.25	Londrina - Itabaiana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWTWL
- Maringá FC
Brazilian Serie C
16.08.25	Maringá - Retrô Brasil	1:0 ✺
11.08.25	Figueirense - Maringá	1:1 ✺
03.08.25	Maringá - Floresta	1:1 ✺
28.07.25	Tombense - Maringá	1:1 ✺
19.07.25	ABC - Maringá	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTTTT

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