Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 37

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Couto Pereira (Curitiba)

Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Coritiba		Athletic Club

	1	X	2
	1.66	2.95	7	Watch
	1.68	2.92	7.1
	1.74	2.87	8.48
	1.37	4.29	8.39	Watch
	1.72	2.92	6.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.37)	3.19 ↓ (4.29)	7.53 ↓ (8.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coritiba
57.8%

Draw
29.6%

Athletic Club
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

21.5%

11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

20.4%

10.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Coritiba's form might have worsened.

Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coritiba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	10%	15%

Coritiba - Athletic Club Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Coritiba will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Athletic will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coritiba: 56% – 94%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Coritiba (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Coritiba will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Coritiba (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pedro Morisco (G) 20. Alex Silva 3. Maicon 55. Jacy 26. Bruno Melo 19. Gomez S. (C) 36. Vini Paulista 27. de Pena C. 77. Iury Castilho 11. Lucas Ronier 49. Dellatorre	31. Adriel (G) 43. Marcelo Ajul 13. Jhonatan Silva 52. Wesley Gasolina 2. Douglas Pele 55. Martinez F. 20. Joao Miguel 8. Chico Geraldes 7. Welinton Torrao 19. Neto Costa (C) 47. Guilherme Cachoeira
Substitutes
67. Benassi (G) 25. Clayson 37. Everaldo 22. Felipe Guimaraes 8. Filipe Machado 5. Geovane 9. Gustavo Coutinho 16. Joao Almeida 12. Pedro Rangel (G) 4. Rodrigo Moledo 23. Tiago Coser 73. Zeca	27. Alason Carioca 45. Edson Miranda 70. Eduardo Freire (G) 11. Ezequiel 14. Fabricio Isidoro 36. Felipe Vieira 25. Glauco (G) 15. Indio G. 28. Kauan Lindes 96. Matheus Guilherme
Coaches
Mozart	Duarte R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Neto Costa 🟨,
15', Marcelo Ajul 🟨,
42', Joao Miguel 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Vini Paulista ↓, Filipe Machado ↑,
62', Alex Silva ↓, Zeca ↑,
62', de Pena C. ↓, Everaldo ↑,
65', Jhonatan Silva 🟨,
72', Chico Geraldes ↓, Alason Carioca ↑,
72', Guilherme Cachoeira ↓, Kauan Lindes ↑,
74', Iury Castilho ↓, Gustavo Coutinho ↑,
74', Bruno Melo ↓, Joao Almeida ↑,
78', Joao Miguel ↓, Fabricio Isidoro ↑,
84', Neto Costa ↓, Indio G. ↑,
84', Welinton Torrao ↓, Ezequiel ↑,
86', Gustavo Coutinho 🟨,
90', Joao Almeida 🟨,
90+2', Martinez F. 🟨,
90+5', Kauan Lindes 🟨,
90+8', Everaldo 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 16).

Recent performances by Coritiba have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Athletic is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Athletic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Coritiba is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Coritiba: Josue (Yellow Cards) Nicolas Careca (Injury) Rodrigo Rodrigues (Inactive)

There will not play in Athletic: Max (Inactive) Rodrigo Gelado (Inactive) Sidimar (Yellow Cards) Yuri (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Coritiba: Iury Castilho (Injury)

There are questionable in Athletic: Alason Carioca (Injury) David Braga (Injury) Luiz Filipe (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Coritiba won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie B
09.11.25	Paysandu - Coritiba	1:2 ✺
31.10.25	Coritiba - CRB Maceio	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Volta Redonda - Coritiba	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Coritiba - Athletico Paranaense	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Cuiabá - Coritiba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTWTL
- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Serie B
07.11.25	Athletic Club - Ferroviária	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Avaí - Athletic Club	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Athletic Club - América Mineiro	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Remo - Athletic Club	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	Athletic Club - Goiás	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
22.07.25	Athletic Club - Coritiba	1:1

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