Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO BRASIL - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 13 April 2023, Thursday

Location: Estádio Willie Davids (Maringá)

Referee: Rodrigues de Souza F. (Bra)


	Maringá		Flamengo

	1	X	2
	10	6	1.25	Watch
	8.75	5.5	1.24
	12	5.75	1.2
	9.46	5.62	1.21
	12	5.25	1.22
	11	6.1	1.22
	9.6	5.8	1.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.4 ↑ (7.2)	5.72 ↑ (4.42)	1.23 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maringá
8.8%

Draw
16.1%

Flamengo
75.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.6%

20.6%

66.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.3%

20.1%

68.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maringá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flamengo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flamengo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Maringá - Flamengo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Maringá will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Flamengo will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

1st leg.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Flamengo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Flamengo is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maringá FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
26.03.23	Athletico Paranaense - Maringá	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Maringá - Athletico Paranaense	0:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
14.03.23	Maringá - Náutico Marcílio Dias	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
11.03.23	Maringá - Cianorte	2:0 ✺
05.03.23	Cianorte - Maringá	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWWL
- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
09.04.23	Fluminense - Flamengo	4:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
05.04.23	SD Aucas - Flamengo	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
01.04.23	Flamengo - Fluminense	2:0 ✺
19.03.23	Vasco da Gama - Flamengo	1:3 ✺
13.03.23	Flamengo - Vasco da Gama	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWWW

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