Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 5 April 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda (Quito)

Referee: Argote J. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Netherlands	ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV


	SD Aucas		Flamengo

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	2.1	Watch
	3.5	3.4	2.05
	3.85	3.35	2.04
	3.82	3.47	2.06
	3.1	3.3	2.1
	3.76	3.6	2.18	Watch
	3.5	3.2	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↓ (5.88)	3.37 ↓ (3.87)	2.09 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SD Aucas
26.4%

Draw
28.1%

Flamengo
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.7%

23.9%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SD Aucas's performance.

Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Flamengo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15%	5%	80%

SD Aucas - Flamengo Predictions

Users Predictions: Flamengo will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Flamengo have a series of home games.

In this match Flamengo is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
01.04.23	Libertad Loja - SD Aucas	2:2 ✺
19.03.23	SD Aucas - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	4:1 ✺
04.03.23	LDU Quito - SD Aucas	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	SD Aucas - El Nacional	0:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Super Cup
11.02.23	SD Aucas - Independiente del Valle	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWTLL
- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
01.04.23	Flamengo - Fluminense	2:0 ✺
19.03.23	Vasco da Gama - Flamengo	1:3 ✺
13.03.23	Flamengo - Vasco da Gama	3:2 ✺
08.03.23	Flamengo - Fluminense	1:2 ✺
05.03.23	Flamengo - Vasco da Gama	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLL

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