Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 10

Date: 15 June 2026, Monday

Location: Estádio Willie Davids (Maringá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SportyNet


	Maringá		Maranhão

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.41	4.20	6.00
	1.55	3.70	5.20	Watch
	1.41	4.60	7.11
	1.56	4.1	5.29
	1.40	3.90	6.50
	1.39	4.15	7.09	Watch
	1.7	3.4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.69)	4.01 ↑ (3.41)	5.96 ↑ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Maringá
61.7%

Draw
22.9%

Maranhão
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

26.6%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

27.6%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maringá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maringá's performance.

Maranhão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maringá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Maringá - Maranhão Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Maringá will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Neto (G) 99. Caique Calito 7. Edison Negueba 3. Gabriel Santos 2. Gabriel Souza 18. Jhow Alecxander 28. Lucas Bonifacio 23. Paulinho 77. Rafinha 21. Ronald Camarao 4. Wendel Lomar (C)	1. Jean (G) 16. Andre Radija (C) 29. Felipe Cruz 4. Lucao 26. Luis Gustavo 25. Mauricio 22. Rodrigo 14. Tiburcio 20. Vagalume 8. Vander 17. Will
Substitutes
8. Adeilson 20. Bruno Cheron 32. Caua Tavares 11. Danielzinho 9. Giovane Gomez 17. Iago Santana 5. Kelvi Gomes 13. Keven 15. Neira N. 29. Rai Natalino 37. Rian Patric 1. Tony (G)	2. Ball 13. Caio Victor 3. Edson Fernando 7. Felipe Sales 9. Joelson 10. Jorge Rocha 6. Lucas Santos 19. Rafael Teixeira 12. Vitao
Coaches
Moises Egert	Testoni J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Mauricio 🟨,
33', Mauricio ↓, Ball ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ball ↓, Edson Fernando ↑,
46', Luis Gustavo ↓, Rafael Teixeira ↑,
61', Felipe Cruz ↓, Joelson ↑,
70', Paulinho ↓, Danielzinho ↑,
70', Caique Calito ↓, Rai Natalino ↑,
70', Rafinha ↓, Bruno Cheron ↑,
80', Gabriel Santos 🟨,
81', Ronald Camarao ↓, Giovane Gomez ↑,
81', Gabriel Santos ↓, Rian Patric ↑,
82', Rodrigo 🟨,
89', Andre Radija ↓, Lucas Santos ↑,
90+2', Wendel Lomar ↓, Iago Santana ↑,
90+3', Jean 🟨,
90+6', Vagalume ↓, Jorge Rocha ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 14).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Maringá is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Maringa FC: 6.99%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maringá FC
Brazilian Serie C
30.05.26	Botafogo PB - Maringá	2:1 ✺
23.05.26	Maringá - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Ypiranga - Maringá	1:4 ✺
11.05.26	Maringá - Guarani	0:5 ✺
03.05.26	Maringá - Itabaiana	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTWLW
- Maranhão AC
Brazilian Serie C
31.05.26	Anápolis - Maranhão	0:0 ✺
23.05.26	Maranhão - Caxias	0:0 ✺
18.05.26	Confiança - Maranhão	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Maranhão - Botafogo PB	3:1 ✺
04.05.26	Floresta - Maranhão	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TTLWW

Upcoming Matches