Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 19

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jonas Duarte (Anápolis)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Anápolis		Santa Cruz Recife

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	2.90	2.95
	2.30	2.85	3.10	Watch
	2.38	2.88	3.43
	2.66	2.76	3.02
	2.25	2.85	3.35
	2.23	3.12	3.33	Watch
	2.31	2.85	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.5)	2.89 ↓ (3.05)	3.17 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anápolis
39.2%

Draw
31.8%

Santa Cruz Recife
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

29.5%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

29.8%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anápolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Santa Cruz Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Cruz Recife might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anápolis than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Cruz Recife could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Anápolis - Santa Cruz Recife Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Anápolis will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Santa Cruz will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ravel Pelegrini (G) 30. Carioca 8. Gharib 9. Gonzalo Fornari 3. Helder 16. Julio Cesar 10. Juninho 7. Matheus Lagoa (C) 4. Rafael Costa 28. Samuel 2. Vitinho	1. Thiago Coelho (G) 6. Alex Ruan 29. Arilson 28. Eron 3. Eurico 37. Everaldo 13. Matheus Vinicius 19. Renato 17. Ronald 26. Silva 4. William Alves (C)
Substitutes
17. Danilo Regio 20. Felipe Para 11. Fernandinho 19. Fernando Viana 27. Gustavo Henrique 41. Joao Borim 6. Leonan 5. Lucas Mila 18. Luiz Felipe 23. Victor Hugo (G) 15. Vinicius Lucas 25. Vitor Fonseca	9. Alex Sandro 15. Andrey 10. Cassiano 27. Edson Miranda 7. Fabinho 22. Jhoninha 32. Joao Pedro 20. Patrick Allan 12. Rokenedy (G) 2. Thiago Ennes 23. Tiago Marques 31. Ze Mario
Coaches
Carlos L.	Cristian Souza

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', Samuel 🟨,
13', Eron 🟨,
36', Matheus Lagoa ↓, Gustavo Henrique ↑,
38', 0 - 1, Eurico ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Helder ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
46', Samuel ↓, Lucas Mila ↑,
62', Alex Ruan ↓, Fabinho ↑,
62', Everaldo ↓, Ze Mario ↑,
63', Vitinho ↓, Fernando Viana ↑,
69', Gharib ↓, Felipe Para ↑,
71', Eron ↓, Tiago Marques ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Fernando Viana ⚽,
84', Fabinho 🟨,
88', Ronald ↓, Cassiano ↑,
88', Arilson ↓, Edson Miranda ↑,
90', 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Santa Cruz: 41.91%

Last Results with these Odds

Santa Cruz Recife - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.57%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anápolis FC
Brazilian Serie C
22.08.26	Confiança - Anápolis	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Floresta - Anápolis	1:0 ✺
10.08.26	Anápolis - Guarani	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Volta Redonda - Anápolis	1:4 ✺
12.07.26	Anápolis - Maringá	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WLWWL
- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Serie C
22.08.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Caxias	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Maranhão	0:1 ✺
08.08.26	Botafogo PB - Santa Cruz Recife	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Figueirense	0:1 ✺
12.07.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Santa Cruz Recife	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLTLW

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