Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 19

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Leonidas Sodre de Castro (Curuzu) (Belem)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SportyNet
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Paysandu		Maringá

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.20	3.30
	1.96	3.30	3.35	Watch
	2.01	3.35	3.96
	2.12	3.3	3.39	Watch
	1.93	3.25	3.75
	2.00	3.26	3.79	Watch
	1.93	3.20	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.89)	3.27 ↓ (3.45)	3.57 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paysandu
46.2%

Draw
28.1%

Maringá
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

26%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25.4%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Maringá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Maringá aligns with the current prediction.

Paysandu - Maringá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gabriel Mesquita (G) 8. Caio Mello 2. Edilson 9. Italo Carvalho 75. Kleiton Pego 22. Lucas Rodrigues 77. Luciano Taboca 10. Marcinho (C) 44. Pedro Carrerette 39. Pedro Henrique 19. Thayllon	25. Neto (G) 8. Adeilson 99. Caique Calito 7. Edison Negueba 18. Jhow Alecxander 28. Lucas Bonifacio 23. Paulinho 21. Ronald Camarao 30. Ronald Carvalho 6. Thiago Rosa 4. Wendel Lomar
Substitutes
31. Bonifazi F. 23. Brian Macapa 15. Castro 18. Eduardo 3. Gustavo Henrique 1. Jean Drosny (G) 98. Juninho 99. Lucas Cardoso 80. Pablo 55. Radsley 30. Thalyson 25. Tiago Indio	1. Affonso de Jesus G. (G) 20. Bruno Cheron 11. Danielzinho 3. Gabriel Santos 2. Gabriel Souza 9. Giovane Gomez 17. Iago Santana 44. Jesiel 5. Kelvi Gomes 77. Rafinha 29. Rai Natalino 16. Rian Patric
Coaches
Junior Rocha	Campanari I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', 🟨,
45', Lucas Rodrigues 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Kleiton Pego ↓, Thalyson ↑,
63', 🟨,
70', Thiago Rosa ↓, Iago Santana ↑,
70', Adeilson ↓, Giovane Gomez ↑,
80', Luciano Taboca ↓, Pablo ↑,
80', Thayllon ↓, Radsley ↑,
80', Caio Mello ↓, Lucas Cardoso ↑,
85', 0 - 1, Rai Natalino ⚽,
87', Ronald Camarao ↓, Gabriel Santos ↑,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Paysandu will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Maringa FC: 6.99%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Serie C
22.08.26	Ituano - Paysandu	0:1 ✺
17.08.26	Ferroviária - Paysandu	4:0 ✺
10.08.26	Paysandu - Confiança	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Amazonas - Paysandu	2:1 ✺
12.07.26	Paysandu - Guarani	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWLW
- Maringá FC
Brazilian Serie C
23.08.26	Maringá - Barra Santa Catarina	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Confiança - Maringá	1:1 ✺
09.08.26	Maringá - Amazonas	0:3 ✺
27.07.26	Floresta - Maringá	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Anápolis - Maringá	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTLTW

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