Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 30

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Marino		Atlético Paso

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.1	2.05
	3.53	3.05	2.13	Watch
	3.25	3.18	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (3.24)	3.11 ↓ (3.2)	2.09 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marino
27.2%

Draw
29.3%

Atlético Paso
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

28.4%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

28.2%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Atlético Paso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marino than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Paso than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Marino - Atlético Paso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Marino has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Atlético Paso is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Atlético Paso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Atlético Paso will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Marino won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Marino won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	CD Marino	4	2	1	1	12:6	6	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Marino
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
08.04.26	Tamaraceite - Marino	2:2 ✺
02.04.26	Tenisca - Marino	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Marino - Herbania	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Las Palmas C - Marino	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Marino - Panadería Pulido	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTTTL
- Atlético Paso
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
02.04.26	Atlético Paso - Mensajero	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Tenerife C - Atlético Paso	0:3 ✺
15.03.26	UD San Fernando - Atlético Paso	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Atlético Paso - Arucas	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Arcángel San Miguel - Atlético Paso	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
07.12.25	Atlético Paso - Marino	3:0
03.04.22	Atlético Paso - Marino	2:1
30.03.22	Marino - Atlético Paso	0:1
22.09.19	Marino - Atlético Paso	0:0

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