Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 12 - ROUND 25

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Marino		Gran Tarajal

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.9	6
	1.44	4	6.14
	1.44	4	6.14
	1.42	4.15	6.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.64)	4.01 ↑ (3.75)	6.23 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marino
63%

Draw
22.5%

Gran Tarajal
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

24.2%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

23.1%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marino's performance.

Gran Tarajal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gran Tarajal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marino than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Tarajal than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gran Tarajal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', Diaz E. ⚽,
18', Rodriguez V. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
89', Rodriguez V. ⚽,
90+3', ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Marino won 2.

Recent matches Marino is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gran Tarajal is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Marino is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Marino won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Marino won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Marino
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
09.03.24	Teror - Marino	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Marino - Unión Sur Yaiza	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Tamaraceite - Marino	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Marino - Herbania	3:0 ✺
09.02.24	Buzanada - Marino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TTLWT
- UD Gran Tarajal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
09.03.24	Gran Tarajal - Santa Úrsula	0:0 ✺
03.03.24	Arucas - Gran Tarajal	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	Gran Tarajal - Panadería Pulido	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Las Palmas B - Gran Tarajal	4:0 ✺
11.02.24	Gran Tarajal - Villa de Santa Brígida	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
29.10.23	Gran Tarajal - Marino	3:0
05.03.23	Marino - Gran Tarajal	2:0
30.10.22	Gran Tarajal - Marino	4:1
06.03.22	Marino - Gran Tarajal	0:1
24.10.21	Gran Tarajal - Marino	1:2
11.12.19	Gran Tarajal - Marino	5:0

Marino - Gran Tarajal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide