Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 16

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Atlético Astorga		Numancia

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.98	2.02
	4.01	3.01	2.04
	3.81	3.08	2	Watch
	3.75	2.8	2.05
	3.74	3.01	2.13
	3.9	3.05	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↑ (3.34)	2.99 ↑ (2.97)	2.04 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Astorga
24.2%

Draw
30.8%

Numancia
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

31%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

30%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Astorga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Atlético Astorga - Numancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 1 - 0, Sanchez M. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Numancia might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
14.12.25	Sarriana - Atlético Astorga	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Atlético Astorga - Sámano	3:0 ✺
30.11.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Atlético Astorga	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Atlético Astorga - Real Oviedo B	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Bergantiños - Atlético Astorga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 TWTTT
- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
13.12.25	Numancia - Deportivo A Coruña B	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	UD Ourense - Numancia	0:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.25	Numancia - Mallorca	2:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.11.25	Numancia - Langreo	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Burgos Promesas - Numancia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLWW

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