Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 15

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Sarriana		Atlético Astorga

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.88	3
	2.41	2.92	3.2
	2.33	2.98	3.1	Watch
	2.3	2.75	3.1
	2.33	2.88	3.11
	2.37	2.8	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.02)	2.87 ↓ (3.1)	3.12 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarriana
38.9%

Draw
31.8%

Atlético Astorga
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

29.2%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

30.2%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarriana's form might have worsened.

Atlético Astorga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarriana than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarriana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Sarriana - Atlético Astorga Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarriana (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 12).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Sarriana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Sarriana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.12.25	Langreo - Sarriana	0:2 ✺
30.11.25	Sarriana - Deportivo A Coruña B	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Rayo Cantabria - Sarriana	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Sarriana - Burgos Promesas	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Marino de Luanco - Sarriana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WTLTT
- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
06.12.25	Atlético Astorga - Sámano	3:0 ✺
30.11.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Atlético Astorga	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Atlético Astorga - Real Oviedo B	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Bergantiños - Atlético Astorga	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Atlético Astorga - UD Ourense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WTTTT

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