Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 14

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Atlético Astorga		Sámano

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.15	4.15
	1.88	3.08	4.62
	1.83	3.18	4.4	Watch
	1.85	3	4.2
	1.84	3.04	4.4
	1.8	3.1	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.76)	3.09 ↓ (3.35)	4.42 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Astorga
49.8%

Draw
29.5%

Sámano
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

27.1%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

26.3%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Astorga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Sámano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Sámano aligns with the current prediction.

Atlético Astorga - Sámano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Albertin ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 2 - 0, Alvarez A. ⚽,
73', 3 - 0, Alvarez J. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Atlético Astorga is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
30.11.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Atlético Astorga	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Atlético Astorga - Real Oviedo B	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Bergantiños - Atlético Astorga	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Atlético Astorga - UD Ourense	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Lealtad - Atlético Astorga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 TTTTW
- UD Sámano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.11.25	Sámano - Rayo Cantabria	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Coruxo - Sámano	4:1 ✺
15.11.25	Sámano - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:5 ✺
09.11.25	Burgos Promesas - Sámano	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Sámano - Marino de Luanco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLLTW

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