Match Info

Date: 9 May 2021, Sunday


	Marino de Luanco		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	4	3.1	1.83
	4.4	3.2	1.8
	4.5	3.05	1.8
	4.55	3.22	1.78
	4.33	3	1.85
	4.7	3.2	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.41 ↑ (4.25)	3.13 ↑ (3.12)	1.81 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marino de Luanco
20.6%

Draw
29.1%

Ferrol
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

28.9%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8%

22.9%

63.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marino de Luanco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marino de Luanco than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferrol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marino de Luanco - Ferrol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Marino de Luanco is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ferrol is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Marino de Luanco could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ferrol is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Marino de Luanco won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Marino de Luanco won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marino de Luanco
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
02.05.21	Compostela - Marino de Luanco	0:1 ✺
25.04.21	Marino de Luanco - Deportivo A Coruña	0:0 ✺
17.04.21	Ferrol - Marino de Luanco	2:0 ✺
11.04.21	Marino de Luanco - Compostela	0:0 ✺
04.04.21	Deportivo A Coruña - Marino de Luanco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTLTL
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
01.05.21	Ferrol - Numancia	1:1 ✺
24.04.21	Langreo - Ferrol	2:3 ✺
17.04.21	Ferrol - Marino de Luanco	2:0 ✺
11.04.21	Numancia - Ferrol	3:1 ✺
04.04.21	Ferrol - Langreo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
17.04.21	Ferrol - Marino de Luanco	2:0
01.12.19	Ferrol - Marino de Luanco	1:2
10.05.15	Ferrol - Marino de Luanco	3:2
21.12.14	Marino de Luanco - Ferrol	1:1
02.02.14	Ferrol - Marino de Luanco	0:1
22.09.13	Marino de Luanco - Ferrol	1:0

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