Match Info

Date: 4 April 2021, Sunday


	Ferrol		Langreo

	1	X	2
	2	2.6	4.25
	1.88	2.85	4.4
	1.93	2.99	4.95
	1.85	3	4.5
	1.92	2.88	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.32)	2.86 ↑ (2.8)	4.56 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrol
47.9%

Draw
32%

Langreo
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

32.4%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

23.6%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferrol's performance.

Langreo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Langreo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferrol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Langreo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Ferrol - Langreo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Ferrol is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Langreo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Langreo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ferrol is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ferrol won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Ferrol won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.03.21	Unionistas de Salamanca - Ferrol	1:1 ✺
21.03.21	Ferrol - Guijuelo	1:0 ✺
17.03.21	Coruxo - Ferrol	3:1 ✺
24.02.21	Ferrol - Celta de Vigo B	2:0 ✺
20.02.21	Ferrol - Deportivo A Coruña	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWLWW
- UP Langreo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.03.21	Lealtad - Langreo	0:1 ✺
13.03.21	Langreo - Numancia	1:1 ✺
06.03.21	Leonesa - Langreo	3:1 ✺
21.02.21	Langreo - Marino de Luanco	1:1 ✺
14.02.21	Covadonga - Langreo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
14.12.19	Ferrol - Langreo	3:0
11.01.15	Ferrol - Langreo	1:0
24.08.14	Langreo - Ferrol	0:0

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