Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	TVG 2


	Langreo		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.3	1.96	Watch
				Watch
	3.7	3.05	2.02
	3.89	2.87	2.13	Watch
	4.02	3.27	1.94	Watch
	4.4	3.3	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↓ (4.4)	3.16 ↓ (3.39)	1.98 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Langreo
23.4%

Draw
29.5%

Ferrol
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

27.1%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

26.3%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Langreo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Langreo than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferrol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Langreo - Ferrol Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Langreo will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Ferrol will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Langreo (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Langreo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Torre A. (C) 2. Zapico G. 5. Amez D. 15. Ojeda D. 4. Lopez L. 11. Omar 8. Orviz S. 6. Suarez L. 14. Reyes A. R. 20. Maya P. 9. Guerrero M.	25. Diaz L. (G) 22. Mardones A. 4. Artetxe M. 12. Chema 16. Garcia S. 23. Pena A. 6. Gelardo A. (C) 24. Garcia A. 7. Alvaro J. 9. Escobar A. 11. Dacosta R.
Substitutes
13. Andrin Y. (G) 21. Gonzalez I. 24. Lopez N. 3. Menendez A. 22. Perez P. 7. Perez S. 26. Rodriguez E. 27. Rodriguez P.	21. Carballo D. 18. Concha D. 13. Fernandez C. G. (G) 20. Gimenez A. 8. Gorostidi A. 2. Miguel 5. Noriega J. 10. Pascu 3. Pujol E. 17. Ramon A. 14. Tejera S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Extra Time (0 - 0)
92', Gimenez A. (Pen),
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Menendez A. (Pen),
1, Noriega J. (Pen),
2, Perez S. (Pen),
2, Concha D. (Pen),
3, Rodriguez E. (Pen),
3, Carballo D. (Pen),
4, Suarez L. (Pen),
4, Gimenez A. (Pen),
5, Lopez L. (Pen),
5, Chema (Pen),
6, Perez P. (Pen),
6, Gorostidi A. (Pen),

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Ferrol is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Langreo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Langreo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UP Langreo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
25.10.25	Langreo - Atlético Astorga	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	UD Ourense - Langreo	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Deportivo A Coruña B - Langreo	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Langreo - Rayo Cantabria	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Burgos Promesas - Langreo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLTT
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.10.25	Celta de Vigo B - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Ferrol - Arenas Club de Getxo	3:1 ✺
12.10.25	Osasuna B - Ferrol	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
08.10.25	Ferrol - Tondela	2:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.10.25	Ferrol - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
24.04.21	Langreo - Ferrol	2:3
04.04.21	Ferrol - Langreo	1:0
14.12.19	Ferrol - Langreo	3:0
11.01.15	Ferrol - Langreo	1:0
24.08.14	Langreo - Ferrol	0:0

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