Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 19

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Marino de Luanco		Lealtad

	1	X	2
	2	2.98	3.6
	1.98	3.09	3.86	Watch
	2.1	2.8	3.5
	1.93	2.97	4.09
	1.96	3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.62)	2.97 ↓ (3.36)	3.81 ↓ (5.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marino de Luanco
45.6%

Draw
30.6%

Lealtad
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

26.9%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

25.7%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marino de Luanco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marino de Luanco's form might have worsened.

Lealtad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lealtad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marino de Luanco than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marino de Luanco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lealtad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Marino de Luanco - Lealtad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+7', 🟥,

Preview

Marino de Luanco has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lealtad has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Marino de Luanco will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marino de Luanco won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Marino de Luanco won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marino de Luanco
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
11.01.26	Langreo - Marino de Luanco	0:3 ✺
04.01.26	Marino de Luanco - Atlético Astorga	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Burgos Promesas - Marino de Luanco	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Marino de Luanco - Coruxo	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Deportivo A Coruña B - Marino de Luanco	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLLT
- CD Lealtad
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
11.01.26	Lealtad - Sarriana	3:1 ✺
04.01.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Lealtad	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Lealtad - Salamanca	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Lealtad - Bergantiños	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Real Oviedo B - Lealtad	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.10.25	Lealtad - Marino de Luanco	0:2
24.01.21	Lealtad - Marino de Luanco	0:1
25.10.20	Marino de Luanco - Lealtad	2:2
17.01.15	Lealtad - Marino de Luanco	1:0
30.08.14	Marino de Luanco - Lealtad	1:1

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