Match Info

SPAIN: COPA FEDERACION - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 27 September 2023, Wednesday


	Marino de Luanco		Real Unión de Irun

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.25	1.7
	4.55	3.3	1.78
	4.5	3.2	1.7
	4.85	3.3	1.69
	4.7	3.35	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.62 ↓ (6.77)	3.28 ↓ (3.75)	1.72 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marino de Luanco
19.6%

Draw
27.6%

Real Unión de Irun
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.4%

24.3%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.9%

23.4%

64.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marino de Luanco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marino de Luanco's performance.

Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Unión de Irun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marino de Luanco than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marino de Luanco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Unión de Irun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Marino de Luanco - Real Unión de Irun Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Marino de Luanco will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Real Unión will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Marino de Luanco is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Real Unión is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Real Unión could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Real Unión is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marino de Luanco
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
23.09.23	RC Villalbes - Marino de Luanco	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	Marino de Luanco - Deportivo A Coruña B	1:1 ✺
10.09.23	Ourense CF - Marino de Luanco	1:0 ✺
03.09.23	Marino de Luanco - Compostela	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.23	Avilés Stadium - Marino de Luanco	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TTLTT
- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.09.23	Real Unión de Irun - Teruel	3:2 ✺
16.09.23	Arenteiro - Real Unión de Irun	2:3 ✺
10.09.23	Real Unión de Irun - Rayo Majadahonda	4:0 ✺
03.09.23	Barcelona B - Real Unión de Irun	2:1 ✺
27.08.23	Real Unión de Irun - Sabadell	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWLW

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