Match Info

BULGARIA: BULGARIAN CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 26 November 2022, Saturday


	Maritsa Plovdiv		Arda Kardzhali

	1	X	2
	9.5	4.5	1.3
	8.75	4.8	1.27
	8.6	5.2	1.25
	10.44	5.47	1.25
	11	4.8	1.24
	9.7	5.85	1.22	Watch
	9	5.4	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.57 ↑ (6.6)	5.15 ↑ (4.14)	1.26 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maritsa Plovdiv
9.5%

Draw
17.7%

Arda Kardzhali
72.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.7%

21.9%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.9%

21.6%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maritsa Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Arda Kardzhali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arda Kardzhali's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maritsa Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arda Kardzhali, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	22.2%	33.3%

Maritsa Plovdiv - Arda Kardzhali Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Maritsa Plovdiv will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Arda will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maritsa Plovdiv: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Arda is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Maritsa Plovdiv
Bulgarian Cup
19.11.22	Maritsa Plovdiv - Hebar Pazardzhik	4:2 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
12.11.22	Maritsa Plovdiv - Strumska Slava Radomir	1:2 ✺
06.11.22	CSKA 1948 Sofia II - Maritsa Plovdiv	3:0 ✺
29.10.22	Maritsa Plovdiv - Minyor Pernik	1:0 ✺
22.10.22	Belasitsa Petrich - Maritsa Plovdiv	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WLLWT
- Arda Kardzhali
Bulgarian Cup
19.11.22	Dunav Ruse - Arda Kardzhali	1:2 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
12.11.22	Arda Kardzhali - Botev Plovdiv	2:1 ✺
05.11.22	Beroe Stara Zagora - Arda Kardzhali	2:0 ✺
28.10.22	Arda Kardzhali - CSKA Sofia	1:3 ✺
21.10.22	Arda Kardzhali - Lokomotiv Sofia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLT

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