Match Info

BULGARIA: BULGARIAN CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 19 November 2022, Saturday


	Maritsa Plovdiv		Hebar Pazardzhik

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.6	1.83
	4.1	3.35	1.76
	4.33	3.1	1.8
	4.15	3.38	1.8	Watch
	4.2	3.45	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↑ (3.82)	3.38 ↓ (3.46)	1.8 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maritsa Plovdiv
21.7%

Draw
27.2%

Hebar Pazardzhik
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

26.3%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

25.6%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maritsa Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Hebar Pazardzhik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maritsa Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Hebar Pazardzhik aligns with the current prediction.

Maritsa Plovdiv - Hebar Pazardzhik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Maritsa Plovdiv is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hebar is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Maritsa Plovdiv could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hebar is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Maritsa Plovdiv won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Maritsa Plovdiv won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Maritsa Plovdiv
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
12.11.22	Maritsa Plovdiv - Strumska Slava Radomir	1:2 ✺
06.11.22	CSKA 1948 Sofia II - Maritsa Plovdiv	3:0 ✺
29.10.22	Maritsa Plovdiv - Minyor Pernik	1:0 ✺
22.10.22	Belasitsa Petrich - Maritsa Plovdiv	0:0 ✺
15.10.22	Maritsa Plovdiv - Sportist Svoge	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLWTT
- Hebar Pazardzhik
Bulgarian Parva Liga
13.11.22	Hebar Pazardzhik - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1:2 ✺
04.11.22	Septemvri Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:1 ✺
30.10.22	Hebar Pazardzhik - Botev Plovdiv	1:2 ✺
24.10.22	Hebar Pazardzhik - Beroe Stara Zagora	1:1 ✺
15.10.22	CSKA Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
16.04.22	Hebar Pazardzhik - Maritsa Plovdiv	2:0
16.10.21	Maritsa Plovdiv - Hebar Pazardzhik	3:1

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