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Current Win Probability
Hebar Pazardzhik 20.3%
Draw 28.8%
Beroe Stara Zagora 50.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.6%
30.5%
40.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.4%
30.3%
41.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hebar Pazardzhik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hebar Pazardzhik's form might have worsened.
Beroe Stara Zagora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beroe Stara Zagora's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebar Pazardzhik than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hebar Pazardzhik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beroe Stara Zagora than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beroe Stara Zagora, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
13%
4.3%
82.6%
Hebar Pazardzhik - Beroe Stara Zagora Predictions
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Hebar will win (votes: 3 - 13%). Beroe will win (votes: 19 - 82.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Beroe: 67.1% โ 98.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Debarliev P. (C) 18. Terziev R. 55. Mihaylov M. 88. Gamakov M. 98. Tartov G. 21. Penchev B. 10. Kabov A. 15. Fonkeu W. 11. Vukovic D. 77. Hamdiev O. 70. Makni N.
1. Arthur (G) 4. Ramos Mingo F. (C) 3. Salomoni J. 5. Squadrone L. 2. Sarriegi O. 15. Espinoza E. 17. Pineda J. 8. Pachame S. 24. Gavrilov S. 10. Touma G. 9. Godoy L.
Substitutes
8. Andonov K. 24. El Fattahi E. 9. Krastev K. 44. Nikolaev N. 23. Pehlivanov K. 97. Rosa M. (G) 29. Senghor S. 19. Staykov G. 7. Zbun O.
19. Algarra C. 23. Ceijas K. 96. Rendeiro R. (G) 18. Rusenov S. 7. Sagardia F. 21. Salido A. 14. Valkov V. 16. Yovkov S.
Coaches
Velikov V.
Acciari J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Kabov A. (Pen),
38', Ramos Mingo F. 🟥,
45+1', Espinoza E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Gavrilov S. ↓, Algarra C. ↑,
46', Touma G. ↓, Sagardia F. ↑,
48', Salomoni J. 🟨,
56', 2 - 0, Makni N. ⚽, Vukovic D. (A),
63', Mihaylov M. 🟨,
65', 2 - 1, Godoy L. (Pen),
66', Sarriegi O. ↓, Valkov V. ↑,
69', Hamdiev O. ↓, Zbun O. ↑,
75', Vukovic D. ↓, Staykov G. ↑,
79', Espinoza E. ↓, Ceijas K. ↑,
80', Squadrone L. 🟨,
82', Kabov A. ↓, Andonov K. ↑,
82', Makni N. ↓, Senghor S. ↑,
85', 3 - 1, Zbun O. ⚽, Andonov K. (A),
90', Godoy L. 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+1', Fonkeu W. 🟨,
90+3', Godoy L. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga (Conference League Group: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Hebar won 3.
Hebar has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Beroe is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Hebar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Beroe is a favorite.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Hebar won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-18.
Including matches at home between the teams Hebar won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-9.
Bulgaria
Slovenia
Watch
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Debarliev P. (C) 
Fonkeu W. 
Vukovic D. 
Makni N. 
Arthur (G) 
Ramos Mingo F. (C) 
Sarriegi O. 
Pineda J. 
El Fattahi E. 
Rosa M. (G) 
Zbun O. 
Rendeiro R. (G) 
Sagardia F. 
