Match Info

BULGARIA: Parva liga - Round 5

Date: 18 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Georgi Benkovski (Pazardzhik)

Referee: Minev V. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra


	Hebar Pazardzhik		Botev Plovdiv

	1	X	2
	10	4.75	1.33	Watch
	8.25	5	1.31
	8.5	5	1.3	Watch
	9.09	4.93	1.34
	8.44	4.91	1.35	Watch
	9.5	4.8	1.25
	8.6	4.9	1.34	Watch
	8.5	5	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.86 ↑ (5.79)	4.91 ↑ (4)	1.32 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hebar Pazardzhik
10.5%

Draw
18.9%

Botev Plovdiv
70.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.5%

22.5%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9%

21.7%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hebar Pazardzhik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Botev Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Botev Plovdiv's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebar Pazardzhik than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botev Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Botev Plovdiv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hebar Pazardzhik - Botev Plovdiv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Debarliev P. (G) 98. Tartov G. 55. Mihaylov M. 23. Pehlivanov K. 21. Penchev B. 15. Fonkeu W. 20. Gamakov M. 77. Hamdiev O. 70. Makni N. 10. Kabov A. 11. Vukovic D.	1. Bernat C. (G) 17. Minkov N. 27. Diabate S. 5. Tamm J. 38. Balogiannis K. 20. Perera A. 28. Karabelyov Y. 21. Iliev N. 10. Popov I. 40. Nwachukwu C. 99. Maras A.
Substitutes
8. Andonov K. 14. Angelov Y. 2. Dishkov I. 9. Krastev K. 44. Nikolaev N. 97. Rosa M. (G) 29. Senghor S. 19. Staykov G. 7. Zbun O.	7. Akere S. 79. Chernev A. 32. Igonen M. (G) 88. Korosec A. 77. Marinov B. 16. Remeikis M. 91. Triboulet V. 4. Ukaki E. 42. Videv I.
Coaches
Velikov V.	Kerkez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Perera A. 🟨,
35', Tartov G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, Nwachukwu C. ⚽, Iliev N. (A),
53', Penchev B. 🟨,
60', Hamdiev O. ↓, Andonov K. ↑,
67', Iliev N. ↓, Triboulet V. ↑,
68', Nwachukwu C. ↓, Akere S. ↑,
74', Penchev B. ↓, Nikolaev N. ↑,
74', Vukovic D. ↓, Staykov G. ↑,
79', Maras A. ↓, Ukaki E. ↑,
82', Pehlivanov K. ↓, Krastev K. ↑,
90+5', Balogiannis K. ↓, Videv I. ↑,
90+5', Videv I. 🟨,
90+5', Nikolaev N. 🟨,

Preview

Hebar has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Botev Plovdiv is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Botev Plovdiv could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Botev Plovdiv is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hebar won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Hebar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hebar Pazardzhik
Bulgarian Parva Liga
09.08.24	Arda Kardzhali - Hebar Pazardzhik	2:1 ✺
02.08.24	Hebar Pazardzhik - Slavia Sofia	1:1 ✺
27.07.24	CSKA Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik	3:1 ✺
22.07.24	Hebar Pazardzhik - Spartak Varna	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.24	Videoton - Hebar Pazardzhik	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTLLL
- Botev Plovdiv
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.08.24	Zrinjski Mostar - Botev Plovdiv	2:0 ✺
08.08.24	Botev Plovdiv - Zrinjski Mostar	2:1 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
04.08.24	Krumovgrad - Botev Plovdiv	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
01.08.24	Botev Plovdiv - Panathinaikos	0:4 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
28.07.24	Botev Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.02.24	Botev Plovdiv - Hebar Pazardzhik	0:0
Bulgarian Parva Liga
10.12.23	Botev Plovdiv - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:0
12.08.23	Hebar Pazardzhik - Botev Plovdiv	1:0
30.10.22	Hebar Pazardzhik - Botev Plovdiv	1:2
08.07.22	Botev Plovdiv - Hebar Pazardzhik	0:1

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