The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Hebar Pazardzhik 13.5%
Draw 21.1%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 65.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.5%
25.5%
52.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.2%
23.7%
48.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hebar Pazardzhik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hebar Pazardzhik's form might have worsened.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lokomotiv Plovdiv's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebar Pazardzhik than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hebar Pazardzhik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-17%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lokomotiv Plovdiv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Users Predictions:
Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%). Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
97. Rosa M. (G) 44. Nikolaev N. 29. Zebic M. 33. Tsonkov S. (C) 21. Penchev B. 20. Petrovic M. 88. Rusinov I. 77. Cavar B. 7. N'Zi J. 11. Vukovic D. 55. Guermouche Y.
1. Milosavljevic B. (G) 21. Stepinski P. 3. Kostov K. 91. Segura J. 44. Lyaskov A. 6. Ivanov H. 22. Ivanov I. 20. Abreu D. 14. Iliev D. (C) 99. Lamy J. 9. Perea J.
Substitutes
70. Dunnwald-Turan K. 15. Kondrakov D. 8. Lazarov L. 98. Markelo N. 17. Metanov N. 99. Paskulov D. (G) 2. Pavlek D. 9. Ushagelov T. 4. Velchev K.
12. Ali E. 11. Andreev P. 77. Bizjak L. 2. Bjornstad T. 19. Haydarov M. 7. Medved V. 5. Pavlov T. 10. Petkov M. 81. Tomov K. (G)
Coaches
Vutsov V.
Kosic D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Nikolaev N. ⚽, Penchev B. (A),
31', Iliev D. (Pen),
35', Segura J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', Perea J. ↓, Bizjak L. ↑,
51', Abreu D. ↓, Ali E. ↑,
53', Rusinov I. ↓, Dunnwald-Turan K. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Ali E. ⚽,
72', 1 - 2, Iliev D. ⚽, Bizjak L. (A),
74', Nikolaev N. ↓, Markelo N. ↑,
74', Vukovic D. ↓, Ushagelov T. ↑,
82', Cavar B. ↓, Kondrakov D. ↑,
83', N'Zi J. ↓, Metanov N. ↑,
86', Tsonkov S. 🟨,
87', Lamy J. ↓, Andreev P. ↑,
90', Ivanov I. ↓, Haydarov M. ↑,
90', Iliev D. ↓, Pavlov T. ↑,
90+3', Rosa M. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hebar won 2.
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
Hebar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Lokomotiv Plovdiv is a strong favorite.
There are questionable in Lokomotiv Plovdiv: Peshov K.
(Knee Injury)
Umarbaev P.
(Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Hebar won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.4:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Hebar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
Bulgaria
Watch
#ad
Rosa M. (G) 
Nikolaev N. 
Zebic M. 
Petrovic M. 
N'Zi J. 
Vukovic D. 
Guermouche Y. 
Milosavljevic B. (G) 
Stepinski P. 
Segura J. 
Abreu D. 
Lamy J. 
Dunnwald-Turan K. 
Kondrakov D. 
Markelo N. 
Bizjak L. 
Bjornstad T. 
Medved V. 
Welcome Package up to $2,500 Cash
