Match Info

UKRAINE: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 15

Date: 27 November 2023, Monday


	Dnipro-1		Chornomorets Odesa

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.9	6
	1.5	4	6.5	Watch
	1.51	4.08	7
	1.51	4.08	7
	1.5	3.75	5.8
	1.5	4	6.4	Watch
	1.55	3.65	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.79)	3.92 ↑ (3.73)	6.33 ↑ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dnipro-1
61.5%

Draw
23.8%

Chornomorets Odesa
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

25%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

24.3%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dnipro-1 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dnipro-1's performance.

Chornomorets Odesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chornomorets Odesa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dnipro-1 than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dnipro-1 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chornomorets Odesa than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chornomorets Odesa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	5.6%	11.1%

Dnipro 1 - Chornomorets Odesa Predictions

Users Predictions: Dnipro-1 will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Volynets Y. (G) 11. Miroshnichenko D. 39. Svatok O. (C) 5. Sarapiy E. 3. Adamyuk V. 18. Babenko R. 22. Rubchynskyi V. 9. Gutsulyak O. 8. Pikhalyonok O. 17. Lednev B. 7. Filippov O.	1. Varakuta D. (G) 9. Putrya I. (C) 3. Yermakov V. 79. Salyuk V. 45. Bragaru M. 8. Sporn J. 27. Vasyliev O. 7. Kuzyk O. 39. Badibanga Z. 10. Hadida G. 77. Shtogrin A.
Substitutes
20. Gorbunov S. 6. Gorin O. 26. Kapliyenko O. 12. Kinareikin Y. (G) 30. Kravets V. 28. Marquinhos 42. Pasich Y. 4. Purita E. 34. Tanchyk V. 19. Vitinho 33. Yurchuk V. (G)	31. Bilyk O. (G) 11. Boychuk B. 99. Shevchenko O. (G) 4. Sytnykov M. 21. Ukhan I. 29. Vakula V.
Coaches
Maksymov Y.	Grygorchuk R.

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 9).

Dnipro-1 is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Chornomorets is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Dnipro-1 have a series of guest games.

In this match Dnipro-1 is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Dnipro-1 to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dnipro-1 won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Dnipro-1 won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dnipro-1
Ukrainian Premier League
12.11.23	Shakhtar Donetsk - Dnipro-1	1:3 ✺
06.11.23	Dnipro-1 - Oleksandriya	1:0 ✺
01.11.23	Rukh Lviv - Dnipro-1	0:2 ✺
28.10.23	Kryvbas - Dnipro-1	3:0 ✺
25.10.23	Vorskla Poltava - Dnipro-1	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWLW
- Chornomorets Odesa
Ukrainian Premier League
12.11.23	Chornomorets Odesa - Rukh Lviv	2:3 ✺
05.11.23	Kharkiv - Chornomorets Odesa	2:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
01.11.23	Chornomorets Odesa - Zorya Luhansk	4:1 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
21.10.23	Chornomorets Odesa - Mynai	3:0 ✺
08.10.23	Kryvbas - Chornomorets Odesa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
07.05.23	Chornomorets Odesa - Dnipro-1	1:2
30.10.22	Dnipro-1 - Chornomorets Odesa	1:0
06.12.21	Dnipro-1 - Chornomorets Odesa	3:1
31.07.21	Chornomorets Odesa - Dnipro-1	0:3
Ukrainian Cup
25.10.17	Dnipro-1 - Chornomorets Odesa	1:0 penalties

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