Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 31

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday


	Marlow		Gosport Borough

	1	X	2
	3.85	4.3	1.65
	3.65	4.13	1.8
	3.75	4.15	1.79
	3.88	3.76	1.74
	3.85	4.3	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↓ (4.3)	4.13 ↓ (4.23)	1.73 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marlow
24.3%

Draw
22.3%

Gosport Borough
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

21.5%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

20.7%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marlow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Gosport Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marlow than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gosport Borough than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gosport Borough could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marlow - Gosport Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Wooden D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, Parker M. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Recent matches Marlow is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gosport is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gosport could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Gosport have a series of home games.

In this match Gosport is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marlow won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marlow
English Southern League South Division
08.02.25	Totton - Marlow	6:1 ✺
01.02.25	Marlow - Merthyr Town	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Chertsey Town - Marlow	2:5 ✺
18.01.25	Marlow - Plymouth Parkway	0:2 ✺
14.01.25	Marlow - Tiverton Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LLWLW
- Gosport Borough
English Southern League South Division
12.02.25	Gosport Borough - Gloucester City	1:3 ✺
08.02.25	Gosport Borough - Poole Town	1:0 ✺
05.02.25	Gosport Borough - Totton	1:2 ✺
01.02.25	Swindon Supermarine - Gosport Borough	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Gosport Borough - Walton & Hersham	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
23.10.24	Gosport Borough - Marlow	0:1

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