Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 28

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday


	Chertsey Town		Marlow

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.4	5
	1.47	4.96	5.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.48)	4.68 ↑ (4.53)	5.12 ↓ (5.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chertsey Town
62.5%

Draw
19.6%

Marlow
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

20.2%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

19.6%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chertsey Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Marlow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chertsey Town than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marlow than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Chertsey Town - Marlow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, Parker M. ⚽,
9', 1 - 1, Collins R. ⚽,
14', 1 - 2, Parker M. (Pen),
45+1', 1 - 3, Parker M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', 1 - 4, Hoath H. ⚽,
60', 2 - 4, McCoy O. ⚽,
70', 2 - 5, Hoath H. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Chertsey is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marlow is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chertsey could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Chertsey is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Chertsey won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chertsey Town
English Southern League South Division
18.01.25	Swindon Supermarine - Chertsey Town	1:0 ✺
14.01.25	Chertsey Town - Poole Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.01.25	Aldershot Town - Chertsey Town	8:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
28.12.24	Chertsey Town - Tiverton Town	2:2 ✺
26.12.24	Hanwell Town - Chertsey Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLTW
- Marlow
English Southern League South Division
18.01.25	Marlow - Plymouth Parkway	0:2 ✺
14.01.25	Marlow - Tiverton Town	2:1 ✺
11.01.25	Wimborne Town - Marlow	3:1 ✺
04.01.25	Winchester City - Marlow	3:1 ✺
01.01.25	Marlow - Hanwell Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
15.10.24	Marlow - Chertsey Town	0:5

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