Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 26

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Gosport Borough		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.5	2.15
	2.92	3.5	2.13
	2.95	3.72	2.17	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.1
	2.94	3.4	2.14
	3	3.4	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.57)	3.45 ↓ (3.88)	2.14 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gosport Borough
31.2%

Draw
26.3%

Gloucester City
42.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.2%

24%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

23.2%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gosport Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Gloucester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gosport Borough than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Gosport Borough - Gloucester City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
68', 0 - 1, Pinchard H. ⚽,
82', 0 - 2, Simpson K. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )).

In recent matches, Gosport has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gloucester has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gloucester may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gosport won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.8:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Gosport won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Gosport	14	6	3	5	22:18	4	21
20	Gloucester	11	2	4	5	15:19	-4	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gosport Borough
English Southern League South Division
31.01.26	Hungerford Town - Gosport Borough	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Hanwell Town - Gosport Borough	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Gosport Borough - Taunton Town	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Plymouth Parkway - Gosport Borough	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Walton & Hersham - Gosport Borough	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWL
- Gloucester City
English Southern League South Division
31.01.26	Sholing - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Walton & Hersham - Gloucester City	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Gloucester City - Tiverton Town	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Gloucester City	3:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
10.01.26	Marine - Gloucester City	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
09.08.25	Gloucester City - Gosport Borough	4:2
26.04.25	Gloucester City - Gosport Borough	2:2
12.02.25	Gosport Borough - Gloucester City	1:3
English FA Cup
17.09.24	Gloucester City - Gosport Borough	0:2
14.09.24	Gosport Borough - Gloucester City	2:2

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