Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 15

Date: 5 February 2025, Wednesday


	Gosport Borough		Totton

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.5	1.75
	4	3.5	1.78
	4.84	3.45	1.78
	4.43	3.51	1.8	Watch
	4	3.75	1.67
	4.31	3.7	1.68
	4	3.5	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.19 ↑ (2.95)	3.56 ↑ (3.5)	1.75 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gosport Borough
21.9%

Draw
25.7%

Totton
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

26%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

25.9%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gosport Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gosport Borough's form might have worsened.

Totton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Totton's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gosport Borough than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gosport Borough, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Totton than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Totton, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gosport Borough - Totton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Austin C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 1 - 1, Faniyan S. ⚽,
81', 1 - 2, Lee T. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )).

Gosport is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Totton in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Totton will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gosport won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.6:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Gosport won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gosport Borough
English Southern League South Division
01.02.25	Swindon Supermarine - Gosport Borough	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Gosport Borough - Walton & Hersham	0:2 ✺
18.01.25	Totton - Gosport Borough	2:1 ✺
14.01.25	Taunton Town - Gosport Borough	3:1 ✺
11.01.25	Gosport Borough - Taunton Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLT
- AFC Totton
English Southern League South Division
01.02.25	Gloucester City - Totton	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Totton - Plymouth Parkway	4:0 ✺
21.01.25	Totton - Frome Town	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Totton - Gosport Borough	2:1 ✺
14.01.25	Merthyr Town - Totton	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
18.01.25	Totton - Gosport Borough	2:1
27.01.24	Totton - Gosport Borough	1:1
27.09.23	Gosport Borough - Totton	2:0
English FA Trophy
27.10.18	Gosport Borough - Totton	1:2
Club Friendly
15.07.13	Totton - Gosport Borough	1:2
English Southern Premier League
01.04.13	Totton - Gosport Borough	3:2

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