Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 16

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday


	Marlow		Wimborne Town

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.6	1.83
	3.45	3.65	1.86
	3.12	4.45	1.85
	3.56	4.19	1.83
	3.58	3.62	1.84
	3.45	3.65	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↑ (2.92)	3.86 ↑ (3.44)	1.85 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marlow
26.8%

Draw
23.7%

Wimborne Town
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

26.4%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

26.3%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marlow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Wimborne Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wimborne Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marlow than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wimborne Town than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wimborne Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Marlow - Wimborne Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Hoath H. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
58', 1 - 1, Burrows M. ⚽,
61', 2 - 1, Nawaf N. O. ⚽,
76', 2 - 2, Lovell J. ⚽,
84', 3 - 2, Nawaf N. O. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Marlow is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Wimborne is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wimborne will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marlow won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marlow
English Southern League South Division
09.11.24	Plymouth Parkway - Marlow	5:0 ✺
02.11.24	Marlow - Totton	0:2 ✺
23.10.24	Gosport Borough - Marlow	0:1 ✺
19.10.24	Merthyr Town - Marlow	2:1 ✺
15.10.24	Marlow - Chertsey Town	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLWLL
- Wimborne Town
English Southern League South Division
09.11.24	Wimborne Town - Taunton Town	3:0 ✺
02.11.24	Wimborne Town - Chertsey Town	1:3 ✺
29.10.24	Plymouth Parkway - Wimborne Town	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Bracknell Town - Wimborne Town	0:0 ✺
15.10.24	Wimborne Town - Tiverton Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
05.10.13	Wimborne Town - Marlow	3:5

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