Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 35

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Wimborne Town		Tiverton Town

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.15	5.9
	1.43	4.46	6.22
	1.44	4.66	6.26	Watch
	1.4	3.9	6
	1.4	4.3	6.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.43)	4.29 ↓ (4.38)	6.17 ↑ (6.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wimborne Town
64.1%

Draw
21.2%

Tiverton Town
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20.9%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

15.9%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Wimborne Town have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Tiverton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wimborne Town than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wimborne Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiverton Town than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Wimborne Town - Tiverton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimborne won 2.

Wimborne is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tiverton has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Tiverton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Wimborne is the clear favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Wimborne won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Wimborne won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now

Wimborne: 0.79%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Wimborne	8	3	3	2	10:4	6	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wimborne Town
English Southern League South Division
10.03.26	Plymouth Parkway - Wimborne Town	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Yate Town - Wimborne Town	1:1 ✺
03.03.26	Wimborne Town - Taunton Town	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Wimborne Town - Dorchester Town	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	Taunton Town - Wimborne Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTWLL
- Tiverton Town
English Southern League South Division
07.03.26	Tiverton Town - Weymouth	0:4 ✺
03.03.26	Tiverton Town - Havant & Waterlooville	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Berkhamsted - Tiverton Town	3:0 ✺
24.02.26	Tiverton Town - Dorchester Town	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Tiverton Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
25.01.25	Tiverton Town - Wimborne Town	1:0
15.10.24	Wimborne Town - Tiverton Town	3:0
22.01.22	Wimborne Town - Tiverton Town	1:0
16.10.21	Tiverton Town - Wimborne Town	1:0
19.09.20	Tiverton Town - Wimborne Town	5:0
22.02.20	Tiverton Town - Wimborne Town	2:2
12.10.19	Wimborne Town - Tiverton Town	0:3

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