Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada (San Marcos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Marquense		Deportivo San Pedro

	1	X	2
	1.70	3.30	4.40
	1.7	3.25	4.4
	1.76	3.46	4.66
	1.77	3.45	4.66	Watch
	1.74	3.3	4.6
	1.81	3.46	4.4	Watch
	1.71	3.25	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.77)	3.35 ↑ (3.2)	4.5 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marquense
52.5%

Draw
27.2%

Deportivo San Pedro
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

27.9%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

29.7%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Deportivo San Pedro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marquense than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo San Pedro than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Marquense - Deportivo San Pedro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gutierrez G. (G) 17. Chuc D. 30. de L. B. 19. Escalante F. 9. Grande D. 70. Hernandez Y. 79. Linton O. 11. Ochaeta D. 99. Rodas M. 66. Santos C. 5. Vasquez E.	12. Cruz V. (G) 99. Aguila G. 2. Alvarez D. (C) . Calderon L. 8. Chacon J. 9. Colon S. 30. Folleco R. 22. Fuentes E. 15. Gomez R. 10. Macal E. . Martinez L.
Substitutes
. Cano J. 13. Cifuentes J. (G) 2. Corado Ruano R. E. 3. Fuentes F. 10. Garcia L. 20. Gordillo G. 91. Matta A. 18. Sanchez E. 8. Velasquez E.	. Aldana B. . Barrientos A. 7. Ceballos M. 5. de Leon B. . Garcia E. . Mendez R. (G) 48. Moran Y. A. 77. Navas J. 19. Salguero O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Santos C. 🟨,
22', Aguila G. 🟨,
25', 🟨,
28', Martinez L. 🟨,
44', Chuc D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Martinez L. ↓, Moran Y. A. ↑,
46', Rodas M. ↓, Corado Ruano R. E. ↑,
61', Ochaeta D. ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
61', de L. B. ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,
61', Calderon L. ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
65', Aguila G. ↓, Barrientos A. ↑,
81', Macal E. ↓, Salguero O. ↑,
81', Colon S. ↓, de Leon B. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, Marquense is the team to beat.

We predict that Marquense will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Marquense	12	6	1	5	13:15	-2	19
7	Deportivo San Pedro	12	5	3	4	14:12	2	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marquense
Guatemala Liga Nacional
09.09.26	Comunicaciones - Marquense	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Marquense - Xelajú	0:4 ✺
29.08.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Marquense	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	Marquense - Cobán Imperial	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Suchitepéquez - Marquense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.2 WLWWW
- Deportivo San Pedro
Guatemala Liga Nacional
09.09.26	Deportivo San Pedro - Deportivo Mixco	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Municipal - Deportivo San Pedro	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Deportivo San Pedro - Antigua GFC	4:3 ✺
23.08.26	Malacateco - Deportivo San Pedro	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Deportivo San Pedro - Aurora	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WTWLW

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