Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada (San Marcos)


	Marquense		Xelajú

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.00	3.00
	2.25	2.72	3.25
	2.43	2.64	3.46
	2.39	2.74	3.49	Watch
	2.3	2.55	3.35
	2.15	3.13	3.17	Watch
	2.26	2.75	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.5)	2.79 ↓ (2.9)	3.27 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marquense
39.8%

Draw
32.5%

Xelajú
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

30.7%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

30.9%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Xelajú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Xelajú might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marquense than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xelajú than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Xelajú could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marquense - Xelajú Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gutierrez G. (G) 17. Chuc D. 2. Corado Ruano R. E. 10. Garcia L. 20. Gordillo G. 9. Grande D. 70. Hernandez Y. 21. Ledesma A. 79. Linton O. 66. Santos C. 8. Velasquez E.	98. Sican E. (G) 52. Aparicio J. 23. Calderon R. 26. Cardoza E. 29. Casas D. 7. Diaz Y. 70. Jaen Y. 24. Marquez R. 5. Monreal E. 25. Ruiz K. 13. Tebalan W.
Substitutes
. Cano J. 13. Cifuentes J. (G) 30. de L. B. 19. Escalante F. 91. Matta A. 99. Rodas M. 18. Sanchez E. 5. Vasquez E.	11. Cardenas S. 22. Chang E. (G) 6. de Leon M. 14. Gonzalez J. 4. Hernandez M. 21. Lopez A. 71. Mejia O. 20. Quezada Gamez H. E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
7', Garcia L. 🟨,
13', 0 - 1, Jaen Y. ⚽,
31', Santos C. 🟨,
34', 🟨,
39', 0 - 2, Casas D. ⚽,
44', 0 - 3, Jaen Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Linton O. ↓, Escalante F. ↑,
46', Santos C. ↓, Matta A. ↑,
58', 🟨,
59', Garcia L. ↓, Ochaeta D. ↑,
59', Grande D. ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,
66', Jaen Y. ↓, Cardenas S. ↑,
74', Hernandez Y. ↓, de L. B. ↑,
79', Diaz Y. ↓, Mejia O. ↑,
79', Casas D. ↓, de Leon M. ↑,
81', 0 - 4, Cardenas S. ⚽,
88', Calderon R. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
88', Cardoza E. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
89', Sanchez E. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marquense won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Marquense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Marquense will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Marquense won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:30. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Marquense won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Marquense	12	6	1	5	13:15	-2	19
5	Xelaju	12	5	3	4	24:14	10	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marquense
Guatemala Liga Nacional
29.08.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Marquense	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	Marquense - Cobán Imperial	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Suchitepéquez - Marquense	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Deportivo Mixco - Marquense	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Marquense - Municipal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 WWWLL
- Club Xelajú
Guatemala Liga Nacional
30.08.26	Xelajú - Deportivo Mixco	4:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
26.08.26	Xelajú - Luis Ángel Firpo	1:1 ✺
Guatemala Liga Nacional
22.08.26	Municipal - Xelajú	2:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
18.08.26	Xelajú - Diriangén	2:0 ✺
11.08.26	Plaza Amador - Xelajú	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
03.05.26	Xelajú - Marquense	2:0
30.04.26	Marquense - Xelajú	1:1
01.04.26	Marquense - Xelajú	1:0
15.02.26	Xelajú - Marquense	4:2
05.11.25	Marquense - Xelajú	1:0
31.08.25	Xelajú - Marquense	3:1
20.04.25	Marquense - Xelajú	1:0

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