Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 19

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada (San Marcos)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-america	Claro Sports 2 Latin America, ViX Latin America


	Marquense		Mictlán

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.45	4.75
	1.64	3.59	5.24
	1.64	3.71	5.25	Watch
	1.65	3.3	5
	1.7	3.43	5.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.8)	3.5 ↑ (3.32)	5.1 ↑ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marquense
55.7%

Draw
26.3%

Mictlán
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

27.3%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

28.6%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marquense's performance.

Mictlán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marquense than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mictlán than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Marquense - Mictlán Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Colli J. (G) 5. Cano J. 29. Casas D. 17. Chuc D. 10. Escobar M. 13. Estrada C. 70. Flores D. 79. Linton O. 99. Rodas M. 14. Ruiz A. 2. Vasquez E.	1. Faust J. (G) 80. Chavasco G. 29. Fajardo W. 17. Grijalva M. 3. Herrarte J. 24. Herrarte K. 77. Lemus M. 4. Meza P. 34. Monges R. 44. Ramirez W. 19. Salguero O.
Substitutes
80. Amaya W. 7. Ceballos M. 20. Elington E. 3. Fuentes F. 19. Joj J. 26. Mencia R. 11. Navarro A. 52. Sosa M. (G) 53. Villalobos J.	. Betancourth R. 88. Chinchilla C. 9. Colon S. . Cuque D. 23. Figueroa J. (G) 5. Menendez B. . Racancoj J. 99. Rigoberto R. D. 31. Rivas B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Flores D. ⚽,
43', Ramirez W. 🟨,
43', Flores D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', Chavasco G. ↓, Colon S. ↑,
56', Grijalva M. ↓, Betancourth R. ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Casas D. ⚽,
73', Lemus M. ↓, Rivas B. ↑,
74', Herrarte K. ↓, Chinchilla C. ↑,
74', 🟨,
75', Meza P. 🟨,
78', Cano J. ↓, Amaya W. ↑,
81', Escobar M. ↓, Elington E. ↑,
88', 3 - 0, Casas D. ⚽,
89', Rodas M. ↓, Joj J. ↑,
89', Flores D. ↓, Villalobos J. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marquense won 1.

In recent matches, Marquense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mictlán is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Marquense is seen as the favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Marquense won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:12. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Marquense won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:4. (average 2.4:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Marquense	12	6	1	5	13:15	-2	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marquense
Guatemala Liga Nacional
07.04.26	Deportivo Mixco - Marquense	2:1 ✺
01.04.26	Marquense - Xelajú	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Marquense - Comunicaciones	1:0 ✺
23.03.26	Antigua GFC - Marquense	1:0 ✺
18.03.26	Marquense - Cobán Imperial	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWLW
- Deportivo Mictlán
Guatemala Liga Nacional
05.04.26	Mictlán - Comunicaciones	1:1 ✺
01.04.26	Antigua GFC - Mictlán	8:2 ✺
29.03.26	Mictlán - Cobán Imperial	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Deportivo Achuapa - Mictlán	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Mictlán - Malacateco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
22.02.26	Mictlán - Marquense	2:1
08.11.25	Mictlán - Marquense	1:1
06.09.25	Marquense - Mictlán	1:0
30.04.17	Mictlán - Marquense	1:0
05.03.17	Marquense - Mictlán	0:0
09.11.16	Mictlán - Marquense	2:0
18.09.16	Marquense - Mictlán	3:0

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