Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 17

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Pensativo (Antigua Guatemala)

Where to Watch on TV:


Guatemala	Tigo Sports
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Antigua GFC		Mictlán

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.95	6.1
	1.4	4.5	8.21
	1.45	4.35	6.62	Watch
	1.44	3.75	6.5
	1.41	4.05	6.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.48)	4.12 ↑ (3.8)	6.86 ↑ (6.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antigua GFC
64.3%

Draw
22.3%

Mictlán
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

23.9%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

24.9%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antigua GFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Mictlán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antigua GFC than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mictlán than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Antigua GFC - Mictlán Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Antigua will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Antigua (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moran L. (G) 12. Ardon J. 77. Camargo E. 3. Castellanos L. D. 26. Fernandez D. 28. Fernandez E. 15. Maziero A. 33. Prillwitz H. 21. Robinson A. 6. Rosales J. 25. Santis D.	1. Faust J. (G) 80. Chavasco G. 88. Chinchilla C. 9. Colon S. 29. Fajardo W. 30. Folleco R. 24. Herrarte K. 14. Monges R. 44. Ramirez W. 31. Rivas B. 19. Salguero O.
Substitutes
4. Carbonell J. 7. Castaneda B. 30. de L. B. 14. Garzaro S. 2. Grijalva K. 20. Herrera A. 99. Macareno K. 60. Ruiz J. 70. Sican E. (G)	. Betancourth R. 23. Figueroa J. (G) 17. Grijalva M. 77. Lemus M. 4. Meza P. 28. Monroy E. 99. Rigoberto R. D. 18. Tobar E. . Torres A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (6 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Ardon J. ⚽,
5', Monges R. 🟨,
6', 2 - 0, Maziero A. ⚽,
11', 3 - 0, Castellanos O. ⚽,
16', 4 - 0, Maziero A. ⚽,
21', 4 - 1, Colon S. ⚽,
24', Rosales J. 🟨,
33', 5 - 1, Rosales J. ⚽,
37', Folleco R. ↓, Meza P. ↑,
39', Fajardo W. (Penalty Awarded),
42', 6 - 1, Santis D. ⚽,
45', Herrarte K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Rivas B. ↓, Lemus M. ↑,
46', Chavasco G. ↓, Betancourth R. ↑,
46', Rosales J. ↓, Garzaro S. ↑,
51', Meza P. 🟨,
57', 6 - 2, Fajardo W. ⚽,
63', Castellanos O. ↓, Castaneda B. ↑,
63', Santis D. ↓, Macareno K. ↑,
68', Prillwitz H. 🟨,
68', Ramirez W. 🟨,
69', Maziero A. ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
75', 7 - 2, Herrera A. ⚽,
77', Prillwitz H. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
83', 8 - 2, Fernandez D. ⚽,
85', Chinchilla C. ↓, Grijalva M. ↑,
86', Ruiz J. 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Antigua won 3.

Antigua has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mictlán is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Antigua may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Antigua is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Antigua won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 1.5:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Antigua won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Antigua	11	7	0	4	21:17	4	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antigua GFC
Guatemala Liga Nacional
28.03.26	Deportivo Mixco - Antigua GFC	2:1 ✺
23.03.26	Antigua GFC - Marquense	1:0 ✺
19.03.26	Comunicaciones - Antigua GFC	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Xelajú - Antigua GFC	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Antigua GFC - Cobán Imperial	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWTT
- Deportivo Mictlán
Guatemala Liga Nacional
29.03.26	Mictlán - Cobán Imperial	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Deportivo Achuapa - Mictlán	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Mictlán - Malacateco	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Mictlán	3:1 ✺
11.03.26	Mictlán - Aurora	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
15.02.26	Mictlán - Antigua GFC	0:0
18.10.25	Mictlán - Antigua GFC	1:2
09.08.25	Antigua GFC - Mictlán	2:0
18.03.17	Antigua GFC - Mictlán	2:3
22.01.17	Mictlán - Antigua GFC	0:1
20.11.16	Antigua GFC - Mictlán	2:1
11.09.16	Mictlán - Antigua GFC	0:1

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