Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 14

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio La Asuncion (Asuncion Mita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Guatemala	Azteca Guatemala


	Mictlán		Malacateco

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	3.7
	1.82	3.25	3.9
	1.84	3.35	4.22
	1.83	3.5	4.22	Watch
	1.8	3.1	4
	1.8	3.28	4.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.98)	3.31 ↑ (3.25)	4.04 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mictlán
50.1%

Draw
27.4%

Malacateco
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

28%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

26.7%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mictlán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Malacateco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mictlán than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malacateco than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Mictlán - Malacateco Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Malacateco (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Faust J. (G) 9. Colon S. 26. Escobar J. 29. Fajardo W. 30. Folleco R. 24. Herrarte K. 77. Lemus M. 34. Monges R. 44. Ramirez W. 7. Rodriguez J. 19. Salguero O.	25. Jimenez M. (G) 13. Angulo Grueso B. A. . Martinez L. 4. Morales B. 2. Palencia D. . Perez Ochoa C. A. 8. Ramirez K. 5. Soto A. 16. Torres Chavez V. G. 9. Trigueno J. 20. Vasquez G.
Substitutes
80. Chavasco G. 88. Chinchilla C. 23. Figueroa J. (G) 25. Hernandez R. 3. Herrarte J. 5. Menendez B. 4. Meza P. 28. Monroy E. 31. Rivas B.	11. Andrade N. 7. de Leon F. 55. Giron Escobar M. R. 30. Guzman A. (G) 17. Meneses R. 6. Morales A. 15. Morales G. 10. Ochoa J. 24. Quinteros F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Fajardo W. ⚽,
29', Morales B. 🟨,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vasquez G. ↓, Ochoa J. ↑,
46', Trigueno J. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
46', Escobar J. ↓, Herrarte J. ↑,
46', Lemus M. ↓, Rivas B. ↑,
58', Palencia D. ↓, Meneses R. ↑,
58', Rodriguez J. ↓, Chavasco G. ↑,
64', Soto A. ↓, de Leon F. ↑,
70', Herrarte K. ↓, Chinchilla C. ↑,
70', Ramirez K. ↓, Andrade N. ↑,
71', Morales A. 🟨,
77', Folleco R. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mictlán won 0.

Recent performances by Mictlán have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Malacateco has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Malacateco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mictlán is seen as the favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Mictlán won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:24. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Mictlán won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.9:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Malacateco	12	3	3	6	12:19	-7	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Mictlán
Guatemala Liga Nacional
14.03.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Mictlán	3:1 ✺
11.03.26	Mictlán - Aurora	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Mictlán - Municipal	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Xelajú - Mictlán	2:0 ✺
26.02.26	Deportivo Mixco - Mictlán	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWLT
- Deportivo Malacateco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
14.03.26	Malacateco - Deportivo Mixco	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Marquense - Malacateco	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Comunicaciones - Malacateco	3:2 ✺
28.02.26	Malacateco - Antigua GFC	2:2 ✺
24.02.26	Cobán Imperial - Malacateco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
29.01.26	Malacateco - Mictlán	2:0
04.10.25	Malacateco - Mictlán	1:0
26.07.25	Mictlán - Malacateco	2:2
25.03.17	Malacateco - Mictlán	2:0
29.01.17	Mictlán - Malacateco	1:1
23.10.16	Malacateco - Mictlán	3:0
31.07.16	Mictlán - Malacateco	2:1

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