Match Info

FA Trophy - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Marsa		Naxxar Lions

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	7.86	5.37	1.30	Watch
	6.5	4.6	1.33
	5.37	4.85	1.41
	9	5	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.18 ↑ (6.89)	4.96 ↑ (4.7)	1.32 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marsa
12.6%

Draw
18.3%

Naxxar Lions
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

19.5%

67.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Naxxar Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Marsa - Naxxar Lions Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Vinicius Baiano ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 0 - 2, Vitinho ⚽,
86', 0 - 3, Vitinho ⚽,

Preview

Recent form of Marsa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Naxxar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Naxxar is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Marsa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Marsa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marsa FC
Maltese Challenge League
21.12.25	Marsa - St. Andrews	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Marsa	1:0 ✺
10.12.25	Swieqi United - Marsa	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Marsa - Mġarr United	2:3 ✺
22.11.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Marsa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWLL
- Naxxar Lions
Maltese Premier League
19.12.25	Mosta - Naxxar Lions	2:3 ✺
11.12.25	Gżira United - Naxxar Lions	3:1 ✺
25.11.25	Paola Hibernians - Naxxar Lions	1:1 ✺
03.11.25	Gżira United - Naxxar Lions	2:1 ✺
29.10.25	Mosta - Naxxar Lions	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
06.09.22	Naxxar Lions - Marsa	2:0
31.01.21	Naxxar Lions - Marsa	0:3
08.11.20	Marsa - Naxxar Lions	4:1

Marsa - Naxxar Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide