Match Info

MALTA: Premier League - Round 23

Date: 12 April 2024, Friday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Santa Lucia		Marsaxlokk

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.25	2.25	Watch
	2.96	3.4	2.24
	2.97	3.4	2.24
	3	3.25	2.1
	3.06	3.21	2.26
	2.85	3.3	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (3.15)	3.3 ↑ (3.18)	2.22 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Santa Lucia
31.1%

Draw
27.7%

Marsaxlokk
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

28.9%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

27.6%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Lucia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Marsaxlokk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Santa Lucia - Marsaxlokk Predictions

Users Predictions: Marsaxlokk will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Celio (G) 3. Ellul M. 80. Gomes E. 6. Letherby D. 21. Moracci S. 18. Mrdja A. 10. Nagamatsu T. 8. Ojo T. 17. Pisani J. (C) 7. Pisani S. 55. Xerri S.	1. Calleja Cremona M. (G) 27. Aguirre L. 88. Akinbule S. 11. Bonnici D. 94. Fernandinho 4. Micallef K. 6. Muscat N. 28. Radjen N. 30. Scicluna R. (C) 3. Weder 10. Yuri
Substitutes
15. Bradshaw A. 16. Formosa C. (G) 9. Mensah G. 4. Ogouvide A. 33. Patrick 27. Piazza A. 19. Tanti J. 29. Valletta J. 1. Vella D. (G) 20. Virano G. 14. Xuereb D.	15. Barbara A. 23. Boakye S. 2. Dimech K. 95. Drobnjak M. (G) 14. Maniscalco M. 99. Obonogwu A. 33. Pires D. D. 7. Portelli N. 37. Saliba A. (G) 19. Vaikainah A. 17. Walker J.
Coaches
Zinnari A.	Muscat W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Ojo T. 🟨,
43', Ojo T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
62', Moracci S. ↓, Piazza A. ↑,
63', Micallef K. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
65', Muscat N. 🟨,
71', 0 - 1, Yuri (Pen),
78', Letherby D. ↓, Virano G. ↑,
78', 0 - 2, Fernandinho ⚽,
78', Nagamatsu T. ↓, Mensah G. ↑,
78', Fernandinho 🟨,
82', Scicluna R. ↓, Pires D. D. ↑,
89', 0 - 3, Akinbule S. ⚽,
90', Yuri ↓, Boakye S. ↑,
90', Akinbule S. ↓, Obonogwu A. ↑,
90+1', Muscat N. ↓, Vaikainah A. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 4).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Santa Lucia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Marsaxlokk have a series of home games.

Marsaxlokk will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Lucia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Lucia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Lucia FC
Maltese Premier League
07.04.24	Mosta - Santa Lucia	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Santa Lucia - Valletta	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	Sliema Wanderers - Santa Lucia	3:1 ✺
02.03.24	Santa Lucia - Sirens	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Gudja United - Santa Lucia	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWLTW
- Marsaxlokk FC
Maltese Premier League
06.04.24	Marsaxlokk - Gżira United	1:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
30.03.24	Marsaxlokk - Floriana	0:2 ✺
Maltese Premier League
16.03.24	Hamrun Spartans - Marsaxlokk	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Marsaxlokk - Birkirkara	0:0 ✺
03.03.24	Marsaxlokk - Mosta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
10.12.23	Marsaxlokk - Santa Lucia	3:0
Club Friendly
09.09.23	Santa Lucia - Marsaxlokk	0:1
Maltese FA Trophy
15.02.23	Santa Lucia - Marsaxlokk	0:2
Maltese Premier League
12.02.23	Santa Lucia - Marsaxlokk	0:1
08.10.22	Marsaxlokk - Santa Lucia	2:2

Upcoming Matches