Match Info

MALTA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 2

Date: 24 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Hibernians Ground (Paola)


	Gudja United		Marsaxlokk

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.2
	3.24	3.12	2.23
	3.1	3	2.2
	3.13	3.16	2.15
	3.15	3.15	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.58)	3.13 ↓ (3.2)	2.19 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gudja United
29.2%

Draw
29.2%

Marsaxlokk
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

28.8%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

28.3%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gudja United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gudja United's form might have worsened.

Marsaxlokk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marsaxlokk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gudja United than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gudja United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marsaxlokk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sozer Y. (G) 13. Arthur J. 18. Borg C. 5. Brenner 88. Esposito M. 39. Grech Z. 22. Mendes R. 17. Mensah G. 30. Micallef K. (C) 11. Muchardi M. 77. Toure A.	95. Drobnjak M. (G) 27. Aguirre L. (C) 94. Fernandinho 6. Muscat N. 99. Obonogwu A. 33. Pires D. D. 19. Vaikainah A. 17. Walker J. 3. Weder 10. Yuri 5. Zerafa D.
Substitutes
21. Attard J. 10. Attard S. 28. Cassini M. 8. Cipriott S. 19. Conti M. 23. Gatt L. 14. Grech L. 7. Lorenzoni G. 26. Pisani J. (G) 24. Serrano W. 99. Zammit G.	88. Akinbule S. 23. Boakye S. 11. Bonnici D. 18. Camilleri G. 2. Dimech K. 8. Ghio J. 16. Haber J. (G) 22. Mifsud D. 37. Saliba A. (G) 30. Scicluna R. 4. Yago
Coaches
Zammit J.	Muscat W.

Preview

Gudja United is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Marsaxlokk is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Gudja United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Marsaxlokk will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Gudja United won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Gudja United won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gudja United
Maltese Premier League
17.09.23	Mosta - Gudja United	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.09.23	Gudja United - Naxxar Lions	1:0 ✺
02.09.23	Gudja United - Valletta	1:3 ✺
19.08.23	Gudja United - Marsaxlokk	0:2 ✺
14.08.23	Sirens - Gudja United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TWLLL
- Marsaxlokk FC
Maltese Premier League
15.09.23	Marsaxlokk - Naxxar Lions	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.09.23	Santa Lucia - Marsaxlokk	0:1 ✺
02.09.23	Marsaxlokk - Sliema Wanderers	1:0 ✺
26.08.23	Valletta - Marsaxlokk	0:1 ✺
19.08.23	Gudja United - Marsaxlokk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
19.08.23	Gudja United - Marsaxlokk	0:2
Maltese Premier League
18.02.23	Marsaxlokk - Gudja United	1:1
17.10.22	Gudja United - Marsaxlokk	1:2
Club Friendly
19.07.22	Marsaxlokk - Gudja United	2:1

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